Daniil Medvedev and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2021; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–1. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,955 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 16
May 14, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Mar 16, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 29, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 2, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | +1.59u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Paul posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 62 75 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | W 63 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 64 | W 67 76 76 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 76 64 | W 63 62 64 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 76 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | W 26 63 63 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | L 57 46 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 63 62 | W 75 46 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 67 46 57 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 46 64 76 |
Last five matches per player
Terence Atmane
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Thijs Boogaard
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Adam Walton
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 22
Daniel Altmaier
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–67 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 70% |
| Sets won | 64% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
