How are today's picks made?

Six independent models review each ATP matchup, including Elo, surface strength, recent form, serve and return stats, and player style. Confidence is the average win probability across the model set, and low-consensus matches are marked as passes.

What does Bet or Lean mean?

Bet means the model pick also passes our odds, consensus, surface, recent-form, and matchup filters; the tag under the chip shows whether it is a moneyline call, a game-spread call, or both. Lean means the models have a predicted winner, but the price or setup does not meet our betting threshold.

Do you show tennis odds?

Yes. The table shows stored book-odds snapshots where available, and match pages add game-spread context when we have a market line. We do not display live Kalshi prices.

Is this useful for casual fans too?

Yes. You can treat the page as a simple guide to today's ATP matches: who the models like, how confident they are, and which matchups are worth a closer look. You do not need to understand every betting metric to use it.

Can I lose money following these picks?

Yes. Sports betting carries inherent variance, and even a strong statistical edge produces losing runs. Flat staking at 2-5% of bankroll is recommended. Treat predictions as a long-term edge, not a guaranteed outcome.

Are the daily ATP picks free?

A free teaser is available to everyone. Pro subscribers unlock the full slate, match pages, confidence scores, and model summaries. Monthly Pro starts with a 7-day free trial.

smashrs.

H2H Predictions News

Match	Tournament	Odds	Confidence	Our call

ATP + WTA

Today's Tennis Predictions

Name: Smashrs Tennis Ratings & Predictions Dataset
Creator: Smashrs
License: https://smashrs.com/terms

Daily ATP and WTA tennis predictions with odds, confidence, and model picks for today's and tomorrow's slates.

Today · Monday, Aug 31, 2026

This page updates daily. Use Tomorrow to preview the next slate, or log in to see tomorrow's predictions.

HU.S. Open - New York · Grand SlamBet

Alexander Blockx over Tomas Barrios VeraLost 3 straight

over Tomas Barrios Vera3

Strong88%+8.7%1.121.20

Strong88%+8.7%

1.121.20

CPorto Challenger · ATP Challenger TourLean

Gustavo Heide over Goncalo MarquesBeat 4 favorites

over Goncalo Marques4

Strong86%−4.7%1.031.04

Strong86%−4.7%

1.031.04

HU.S. Open - New York · Grand SlamLean

Hubert Hurkacz44-match win streak over Damir DzumhurBack after 4w off

over Damir Dzumhur4w

Solid84%−4.3%1.051.07

Solid84%−4.3%

1.051.07

HU.S. Open - New York · Grand SlamLean

Karolina Muchova over Sinja Kraus

over Sinja Kraus

Solid84%−3.1%1.061.09

Solid84%−3.1%

1.061.09

HU.S. Open - New York · Grand Slam· H2H 2-0Lean

Aryna Sabalenka over Maria Victoria Quinde SerranoLost 3 straight

over Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano3

Strong88%unpriced

Strong88%

unpriced

CPlovdiv 3 Challenger · ATP Challenger TourLean

Alexander Vasilev vs Juan Manuel La Serna

vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Pick locked3.19

3.19

CComo Challenger · ATP Challenger TourLean

Alvaro Guillen Meza4Lost 4 straight vs Max Schoenhaus

vs Max Schoenhaus

Pick locked2.67

2.67

HU.S. Open - New York · Grand SlamLean

Anhelina Kalinina vs Himeno SakatsumeBack after 5w off

vs Himeno Sakatsume5w

Pick locked1.30

1.30

78 more predictions for today

Start free trial

Last 26/40 model picks called correctly.

-3.5 @1.89

Arthur Fery

+0.89u

-4.5 @1.76

Max Purcell

+0.76u

@1.18

Aidan Mayo

+0.18u

@1.12

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

+0.12u

-3 @1.82

Charles Broom

+0.82u

@1.28

Hynek Barton

+0.28u

@1.29

George Loffhagen

+0.29u

-4.5 @1.83

Oliver Tarvet

-1.00u

-3.5 @1.89

Petr Brunclik

-1.00u

@1.13

Gerard Campana Lee

+0.13u

@1.12

Dimitris Sakellaridis

-1.00u

-3.5 @1.81

Marko Topo

-1.00u

-4 @1.82

Nikola Bartunkova

+0.82u

@1.41

Michiel De Krom

-1.00u

@1.24

Andrea De Marchi

-1.00u

@1.35

Lorenzo Rottoli

-1.00u

@1.29

Tim Handel

+0.29u

@1.42

Alexander Ritschard

+0.42u

@1.44

Matthew Dellavedova

+0.44u

@1.50

Filip Jeff Planinsek

+0.50u

@1.13

Sebastian Sorger

+0.13u

-4 @1.74

Jessica Pegula

+0.00u

@1.31

Anna Siskova

-1.00u

@1.37

Vivian Wolff

-1.00u

-4.5 @1.80

Madison Keys

+0.80u

-4 @1.83

Elena Rybakina

+0.83u

@1.24

Mia Ristic

+0.24u

-4 @1.84

Alexandra Eala

-1.00u

-4 @1.88

Jessica Pegula

-1.00u

@1.14

Hanne Vandewinkel

+0.14u

@1.13

Hanne Vandewinkel

+0.13u

@1.23

Ayana Akli

+0.23u

@1.22

Barbora Palicova

+0.22u

@1.14

Alicia Dudeney

+0.14u

@1.28

Barbora Palicova

+0.28u

@1.40

Nastasja Schunk

+0.40u

-4.5 @1.78

Jessica Pegula

-1.00u

-4 @1.86

Jessica Pegula

+0.86u

@1.24

Katie Volynets

+0.24u

-4 @1.79

Lilli Tagger

+0.00u

HitMissFlat 1u stake · opening odds

Jul 23 → Aug 26, 2026 · 35 days

A track record you can audit.

Since 2023, each surfaced ATP and WTA pick has gone into the results table: winning streaks, cold runs, and everything in between. Nothing gets quietly removed when the models cool off.

The default ATP+WTA view is our signed-off main-tour track record. ITF-W and ITF-M tabs are available for drill-down while those backtests are still under validation.

Results come from walk-forward backtesting, which means each call was generated using only the information available before the match. No hindsight, no outcome leakage.

P/L is calculated at opening market odds from major bookmakers. Serious bettors can compare units, ROI, and bankroll staking without assuming perfect line shopping.

ROI · 2026

+6.3%

+45.4u

JANToday

Tour

P/L stake size

Period	Picks	Accuracy	ROI	Units
Last 90 days	173	66.5%	+11.4%	+19.7u
2026 Season	720	71.9%	+6.3%	+45.4u
2025 Season	1,073	75.3%	+5.4%	+58.4u
2024 Season	1,070	75.5%	+3.7%	+39.9u
2023 Season	1,065	77.1%	+5.3%	+56.8u

Raw unit P/L - stake-agnostic. 1 unit = your chosen stake size.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

How to read a Smashrs pick

Each match page shows the pick, confidence, model agreement, and matchup context in one card. Here's a real example from the 2026 BMW Open in Munich.

We do not force action on every match. When price, surface, recent form, or model consensus is not strong enough, the recommendation stays a Lean: a pick without a recommended bet.

The track record above shows how those calls performed over time, including the misses that matter when you're evaluating a betting edge.

Want to dig deeper? Browse top rivalries in our H2H directory or browse the live ATP rankings.

Model prediction

CClay

BMW Open · Quarterfinals · April 17, 2026

Six-model consensus and matchup context

Our call

Alexander Zverev

over Francisco Cerundolo

Confidence

Solid79% conf

Model breakdown · 6 models

Peak Performance

Zverev 88%

Current Form

Zverev 85%

Serve & Return

Zverev 82%

Role Dynamics

Zverev 76%

Mechanics

Zverev 74%

Fatigue Index

Zverev 71%

Prediction summary

All 6 models back Zverev. His 247-point Elo advantage over Cerundolo on clay, combined with a dominant serve and superior recent form heading into the Munich quarterfinals, put the consensus well above our surfacing threshold. Zverev won in straight sets.

Free teaser available · Pro unlocks the full slate

View Pro plans

Join the free Smashrs newsletter

Model picks, results, and research from the Smashrs team. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Tennis Predictions FAQ

Smashrs has cleared 75%+ accuracy across thousands of ATP picks in walk-forward backtesting. The track record on this page includes wins, losses, hot streaks, and cold runs so you can judge the edge for yourself.

Free teaser · Pro full slate

Unlock every pick.

Subscribe to Pro for every pick, confidence score, and matchup summary.

View Pro plans

Today's Tennis Predictions

Last 26/40 model picks called correctly.

A track record you can audit.

How to read a Smashrs pick

Tennis Predictions FAQ

How accurate are Smashrs' tennis predictions?

How are today's picks made?

What does Bet or Lean mean?

Do you show tennis odds?

Is this useful for casual fans too?

Can I lose money following these picks?

Are the daily ATP picks free?

Unlock every pick.

Last 26/40 model picks called correctly.

A track record you can audit.

How to read a Smashrs pick