Mary Stoiana vs Oleksandra OliynykovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Japan Open - Osaka
- Level
- WTA 250
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 20 · 12:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.44 or shorter, Mary Stoiana has won 26 of 28 (93%). The price implied 74%, so Mary Stoiana has beaten it by 19 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Mary Stoiana and Oleksandra Oliynykova meet next at the Japan Open - Osaka on October 20 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stoiana | Oliynykova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mary Stoiana | Oleksandra Oliynykova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 71% | 30/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 16/28 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 34/85 | 31% | 20/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 30/56 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 17/25 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 17/24 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 48/57 | 88% | 36/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 39/57 | 73% | 30/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stoiana
👑 The Complete Package
Oliynykova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,984 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mary Stoiana.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Stoiana and Oliynykova have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Stoiana | Oliynykova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mary Stoiana | Oleksandra Oliynykova | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 3 or more | 22% | 4/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stoiana | Oliynykova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–8 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 3.05 |
| ROI % | -15.7% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.14u | -1.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Stoiana | Oliynykova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TUR → SUI | SGP → ROU → SUI |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Oliynykova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Stoiana's 44%).
| Opponent | Stoiana | Oliynykova |
|---|---|---|
| Yue Yuan | W 63 46 64 | L 26 36 |
| Julia Riera | L 64 67 36 | W 64 76 |
| Jazmin Ortenzi | W 63 62 | L 46 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 16 26 | L 16 46 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | W 36 62 63 | W 75 61 |
| Petra Marcinko | L 36 06 | W 61 63 |
| Elizabeth Mandlik | L 16 62 46 | W 62 62 |
| Nuria Brancaccio | W 75 46 75 | W 26 63 60 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | L 46 46 | W 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sayaka Ishii
Japan Open - Osaka · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Rinko Matsuda
Japan Open - Osaka · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Hanna Chang
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Oct 1
Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Dominika Salkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Claire Liu
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Julia Riera
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Aliona Falei
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Wushuang Zheng
Suzhou WTA 125 - Suzhou · 1st Round
Oct 6
Yue Yuan
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Vivian Wolff
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Alexandra Eala
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Reese Brantmeier
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–85 matches
| Metric | Stoiana | Oliynykova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 66% |
| Sets won | 64% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |