Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner have met 17 times since 2020; Jannik Sinner leads 10–7. Their first meeting came at Open 13 Provence - Marseille in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 9–6. Sinner has won the last 5 meetings. 6 of their meetings have been finals, with Sinner leading those 4–2. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 21 sets to Sinner's 27. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 14 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 3, Sinner 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 144 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
17 career meetings, newest first
May 16, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 15, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Nov 14, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 10, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 4, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 9, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 29, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 28, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Nov 18, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 29, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Final
Oct 4, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Final
Apr 2, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Final
Feb 19, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · Final
Oct 28, 2022
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 18, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 12, 2021
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 20, 2020
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Medvedev's 60%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | W 67 76 63 64 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 67 57 | W 75 76 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 62 61 | W 64 63 64 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 76 76 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | W 62 62 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 60 62 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | W 64 57 60 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | W 62 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | W 62 75 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–72 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 94% |
| Sets won | 65% | 87% |
| Games won | 55% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 4 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 1 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 9 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.