Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio CobolliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli have met 3 times since 2024; Daniil Medvedev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 6 sets to Cobolli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 18% | 4/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 34% | 17/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 60% | 15/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Cobolli 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Cobolli
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 28, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 31, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Cobolli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Flavio Cobolli | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 64% | 7/11 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -0.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -0.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cobolli's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Safiullin | W 75 64 | L 36 26 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | L 36 62 710 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 46 67 | L 26 67 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | L 76 67 57 |
| James Duckworth | W 67 63 62 | W 76 36 76 61 |
| Terence Atmane | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 16 64 46 76 16 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | W 46 64 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 75 46 | L 26 67 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Alexander Blockx
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Francisco Comesana
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 60% |
| Sets won | 66% | 55% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Cobolli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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