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Head-to-Head

Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio CobolliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Daniil Medvedev

🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev

#8 · 30 yrs · R

2–1

3 meetings · sets 6–2

Flavio Cobolli

🇮🇹Flavio Cobolli

#6 · 24 yrs · R

4

Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli have met 3 times since 2024; Daniil Medvedev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 6 sets to Cobolli's 2. Their most recent meeting: Flavio Cobolli won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMedvedevCobolli
Wins in straight sets71%57%
Wins a set when losing53%9%
Goes to a deciding set36%28%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite49%37%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%61%
Tiebreak sets won38%54%
Wins after taking set 190%92%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 174%62%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Cobolli 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Medvedev

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Cobolli

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

Apr 28, 2026

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · 4th Round

36
75
46
Cobolli

Sep 30, 2024

China Open - Beijing

H Hard · Quarterfinals

62
64
Medvedev

Aug 31, 2024

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 3rd Round

63
64
63
Medvedev

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMedvedevCobolli
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%88%
5 or more77%75%
10 or more54%31%
15 or more15%6%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMedvedevCobolli
W-L6–69–5
Avg odds1.262.29
ROI %-39.7%+36.9%
Units P/L-4.76u+5.17u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMedvedevCobolli
Countries22
Events32
Matches45
Distance1,024 mi · 1,648 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteCAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Cobolli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Medvedev's 50%).

OpponentMedvedevCobolli
Alex de Minaur
W
64
64
W
75
76
63
James Duckworth
W
67
63
62
W
76
36
76
61
Terence Atmane
W
64
64
W
76
63
Frances Tiafoe
L
36
26
L
26
67
Alexander Zverev
L
62
36
67
L
16
64
46
76
16
Felix Auger-Aliassime
W
64
62
W
46
64
64
64
Learner Tien
L
46
06
36
W
62
62
63
Yibing Wu
L
75
67
46
W
64
64
64
Jannik Sinner
L
26
75
46
L
26
67
Thiago Agustin Tirante
W
63
62
L
36
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Medvedev
LLWLLWWL
L

Martin Damm

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

57
36

Aug 26

L

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

763
647
16

Aug 18

W

Marco Trungelliti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

64
75

Aug 16

L

Botic van de Zandschulp

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
657

Aug 6

L

Jan-Lennard Struff

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

647
657
57

Jul 3

W

Daniel Merida

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

36
63
75
62

Jul 1

W

Marin Cilic

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

61
62
64

Jun 29

L

Daniel Altmaier

Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals

46
766
46

Jun 19

Cobolli
LWWWLLLW
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

36
46

Aug 22

W

Rafael Jodar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
763
63

Aug 19

W

Alexander Blockx

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
46
75

Aug 17

W

Miomir Kecmanovic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

61
46
63

Aug 15

L

Yannick Hanfmann

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

657
627

Aug 5

L

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

26
46

Jul 15

L

Arthur Fery

Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals

46
647
06

Jul 8

W

Alex de Minaur

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

75
764
63

Jul 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MedvedevMedvedev ahead↓ Cobolli

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–66 matches

MetricMedvedevCobolli
Matches won70%59%
Sets won65%54%
Games won55%50%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMedvedevCobolli
Grand Slam10
ATP Masters 100001
ATP World Tour 50010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMedvedevCobolli
Hard20
Clay01

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Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli FAQ

Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.