Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Daniil Medvedev have met 6 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 3 sets to Medvedev's 12. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Medvedev 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
May 27, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 6, 2022
Abierto de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos
H Hard · Final
Oct 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Norrie's 60%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 46 | L 62 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | W 75 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 67 63 | W 76 63 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 63 64 | W 64 62 64 |
| James Duckworth | W 64 64 | W 67 63 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 26 75 46 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 57 | W 63 62 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 64 | W 62 63 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 67 76 46 | L 06 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–68 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 72% |
| Sets won | 51% | 66% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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