Cameron Norrie vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Daniil Medvedev have met 6 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 3 sets to Medvedev's 12. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Medvedev 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
May 27, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 24, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 6, 2022
Abierto de Tenis Mifel - Los Cabos
H Hard · Final
Oct 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Norrie's 40%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 62 36 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 57 76 61 | W 64 64 |
| James Duckworth | W 64 64 | W 67 63 62 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | W 63 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 26 75 46 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 57 | W 63 62 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 64 | W 63 62 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 64 67 64 | W 62 63 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 67 76 46 | L 06 06 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–66 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 70% |
| Sets won | 53% | 65% |
| Games won | 51% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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