Cameron Norrie vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Learner Tien have met 4 times since 2024; Learner Tien leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Tien leads 3–1. Tien has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tien leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 3 sets to Tien's 6. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at Moselle Open - Metz (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 46% | 22/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Tien 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 8, 2025
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · Final
Oct 6, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Dec 30, 2024
Hong Kong
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | -14.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | -1.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Norrie's 20%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 63 36 36 | L 36 76 16 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 57 | W 64 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | W 76 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | W 46 61 76 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 67 02 | L 46 36 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 46 | W 36 63 75 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | W 64 36 61 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 16 46 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 57 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–63 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 68% |
| Sets won | 53% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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