Cameron Norrie vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Learner Tien have met 4 times since 2024; Learner Tien leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Tien leads 3–1. Tien has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Tien leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 3 sets to Tien's 6. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at Moselle Open - Metz (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 1, Tien 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 8, 2025
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · Final
Oct 6, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Dec 30, 2024
Hong Kong
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | -1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tien has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Norrie's 20%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 36 63 46 | W 61 64 67 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 46 | L 67 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 36 57 | W 64 64 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | W 76 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 26 | W 46 61 76 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 67 02 | L 46 36 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 46 | W 36 63 75 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 76 46 | W 64 36 61 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–65 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 66% |
| Sets won | 51% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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