Cameron Norrie vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Luca Van Assche have met 5 times since 2023; Cameron Norrie leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Norrie leads 3–2. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 9 sets to Assche's 7. Their most recent meeting: Luca Van Assche won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 13/26 | 60% | 29/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 9/21 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 22/47 | 39% | 29/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 11/27 | 41% | 9/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 95% | 38/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 13/21 | 73% | 29/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Van Assche 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Assche
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 6, 2024
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 11, 2024
Roanne Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2024
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | +33.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.99u | +5.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Assche's 33%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 26 |
| Denis Shapovalov | L 36 75 46 | L 06 46 67 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | L 16 67 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 60 67 46 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | L 60 36 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | W 36 63 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 26 | L 36 60 16 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 46 76 64 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dalibor Svrcina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Luca Van Assche
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Cameron Norrie
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–79 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 63% |
| Sets won | 51% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
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