Cameron Norrie vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cameron Norrie and Luca Van Assche have met 4 times since 2023; Cameron Norrie leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Norrie leads 3–1. Across all meetings Norrie has taken 8 sets to Assche's 4. Their most recent meeting: Cameron Norrie won at Moselle Open - Metz (2024).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- August 30 · 12:30 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 2.50 or longer, Luca Van Assche has won 18 of 50 matches, 36% against a fair-price expectation of 33%.
Priced around 1.52 or shorter, Cameron Norrie has won 100 of 138 matches, 72% against a fair-price expectation of 69%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Cameron Norrie and Luca Van Assche meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 30 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Norrie | Van Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cameron Norrie | Luca Van Assche | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 15/29 | 57% | 25/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 42% | 28/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 14/28 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 14/31 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 15/25 | 68% | 25/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Norrie 0, Van Assche 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Norrie
🎯 Baseliner
Assche
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 399 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Cameron Norrie.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Nov 6, 2024
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 11, 2024
Roanne Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2024
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Norrie | Assche | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cameron Norrie | Luca Van Assche | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 62% | 13/21 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 19% | 4/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -8.3% | +38.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.99u | +7.31u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 2,443 mi · 3,931 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Norrie has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Assche's 50%).
| Opponent | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 61 | L 16 67 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 60 67 46 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | L 60 36 26 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 62 67 62 | W 36 63 64 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 46 76 64 | L 64 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Dino Prizmic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Fils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alex de Minaur
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Ignacio Buse
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Bernard Tomic
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Titouan Droguet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Final
Jul 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–69 matches
| Metric | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 65% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Norrie | Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |