Luca Van Assche vs Raphael CollignonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทLuca Van Assche
#40 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
Title4 meetings ยท sets 0โ8

๐ง๐ชRaphael Collignon
#38 ยท 24 yrs ยท R
5Luca Van Assche and Raphael Collignon have met 4 times since 2024; Raphael Collignon leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Lyon Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Collignon leads 2โ0. On hard courts Collignon leads 2โ0. Collignon has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Assche has taken 0 sets to Collignon's 8. Their most recent meeting: Raphael Collignon won at Monza Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Van Assche | Collignon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Van Assche | Raphael Collignon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 25/44 | 76% | 37/49 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 28/67 | 28% | 19/69 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 21/44 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 8/20 | 65% | 26/40 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 34/37 | 93% | 42/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 25/37 | 82% | 37/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Van Assche 0, Collignon 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Assche
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Collignon
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Raphael Collignon.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 10, 2026
Monza Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 12, 2026
Cap Cana Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 13, 2026
Pau Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 14, 2024
Lyon Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Assche | Collignon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Van Assche | Raphael Collignon | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 13/21 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 19% | 4/21 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Assche | Collignon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ5 | 8โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +38.5% | -25.4% |
| Units P/L | +7.31u | -4.06u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Assche | Collignon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,443 mi ยท 3,931 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA โ CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Collignon has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Assche's 50%).
| Opponent | Assche | Collignon |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 76 75 | W 76 61 |
| Titouan Droguet | L 46 62 67 | W 62 76 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 64 46 75 | L 36 46 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 67 46 | W 16 76 75 |
| Timofey Skatov | W 61 64 | W 36 76 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 67 46 | W 75 61 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 46 75 16 36 | L 36 36 |
| Remy Bertola | W 36 61 75 | W 62 76 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 67 46 | W 62 64 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 64 64 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger ยท Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Yannick Hanfmann
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Titouan Droguet
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท Final
Jul 26
Rinky Hijikata
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 25
Mariano Navone
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Daniel Altmaier
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Stefanos Tsitsipas
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท Final
Jul 19
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Valentin Vacherot
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Lorenzo Sonego
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 69โ73 matches
| Metric | Assche | Collignon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 70% |
| Sets won | 60% | 66% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Assche | Collignon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Assche | Collignon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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