Luca Van Assche vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Luca Van Assche and Rei Sakamoto have met 4 times since 2025; Luca Van Assche leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Sassuolo Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Assche leads 2–0. On hard courts Assche leads 2–0. Assche has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Assche has taken 8 sets to Sakamoto's 1. Their most recent meeting: Luca Van Assche won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Van Assche | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Luca Van Assche | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 29/48 | 63% | 29/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 10/27 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 29/75 | 33% | 23/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 47% | 23/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 41% | 9/22 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 38/40 | 90% | 37/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 29/40 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Van Assche 3, Sakamoto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Assche
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rei Sakamoto.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2026
Monza Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 10, 2026
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 18, 2025
Sassuolo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Assche | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Luca Van Assche | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 85% | 17/20 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 5% | 1/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Assche | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +33.5% | +15.9% |
| Units P/L | +5.69u | +3.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Assche | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Assche has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sakamoto's 40%).
| Opponent | Assche | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | W 36 63 64 | W 64 64 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | L 64 36 46 | W 76 46 76 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 16 67 | W 64 36 76 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 63 75 | L 67 63 57 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | W 75 67 61 | W 62 62 |
| Vilius Gaubas | W 64 62 26 75 | L 67 76 67 |
| Alex Molcan | W 64 64 | L 46 06 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 63 63 | L 36 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 62 | L 46 67 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 60 16 | L 67 16 75 64 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Cameron Norrie
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Alex de Minaur
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Andrey Rublev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Marco Trungelliti
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Seongchan Hong
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–79 matches
| Metric | Assche | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 64% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Assche | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Assche | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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