Jurij Rodionov vs Rei SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jurij Rodionov and Rei Sakamoto have met 4 times since 2023; Rei Sakamoto leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Yokkaichi Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sakamoto leads 3–1. Sakamoto has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rodionov has taken 2 sets to Sakamoto's 6. Their most recent meeting: Rei Sakamoto won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rodionov | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jurij Rodionov | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 30/42 | 63% | 29/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 10/25 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/67 | 33% | 23/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 22/42 | 47% | 23/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 15/22 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 51% | 20/39 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 90% | 37/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 30/40 | 71% | 29/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rodionov 1, Sakamoto 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodionov
💥 Big Hitter
Sakamoto
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 18, 2024
Yokohama Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 12, 2024
Kobe Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 28, 2023
Yokkaichi Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodionov | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jurij Rodionov | Rei Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 5 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 85% | 17/20 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 25% | 5/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +22.6% | +15.9% |
| Units P/L | +3.39u | +3.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Rodionov and Sakamoto posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Rodionov | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 67 46 |
| JiSung Nam | W 26 76 62 | L 67 46 |
| Frederico Ferreira Silva | W 62 36 61 | W 62 62 |
| Oliver Crawford | W 64 64 | L 46 36 |
| Colton Smith | W 62 76 | W 64 64 |
| Matteo Martineau | L 46 16 | W 67 62 76 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 16 46 | W 76 61 |
| Federico Cina | W 64 63 | W 67 63 62 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zizou Bergs
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Gauthier Onclin
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Daniel Masur
Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matisse Bobichon
Cassis Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Frederico Ferreira Silva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Alex de Minaur
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Andrey Rublev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Marco Trungelliti
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Kyrian Jacquet
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Seongchan Hong
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–74 matches
| Metric | Rodionov | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 64% |
| Sets won | 59% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodionov | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodionov | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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