Jurij Rodionov vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jurij Rodionov and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 4 times since 2025; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Noumea Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Rodionov has taken 5 sets to Mochizuki's 5. Their most recent meeting: Jurij Rodionov won at Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3 (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rodionov | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jurij Rodionov | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 27/40 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 10/28 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 23/68 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 20/45 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 16/22 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 12/26 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 33/38 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rodionov 1, Mochizuki 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rodionov
💥 Big Hitter
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jurij Rodionov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 6, 2026
Davis Cup, World Group, Q, JPN-AUT 2-3
H Hard · Rubber 2
Aug 19, 2025
US Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 18, 2025
Pune Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2025
Noumea Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rodionov | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jurij Rodionov | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 9/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -16.8% | +17.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.68u | +3.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 145 mi · 233 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rodionov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Mochizuki's 43%).
| Opponent | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 75 | L 46 36 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 76 64 | W 63 46 61 |
| Clement Tabur | L 64 57 46 | W 16 75 26 63 61 |
| Remy Bertola | L 64 67 26 | L 36 46 |
| Gauthier Onclin | W 64 62 | W 62 46 63 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 67 36 | L 67 46 |
| Billy Harris | W 62 16 63 | L 67 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Niels McDonald
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Joel Schwaerzler
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 20
Clement Tabur
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Mathys Erhard
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Soon Woo Kwon
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Fabian Marozsan
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Charles Broom
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Duncan Chan
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Philip Sekulic
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–69 matches
| Metric | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 40% |
| Sets won | 56% | 45% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rodionov | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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