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Head-to-Head

Daniil Medvedev vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Daniil Medvedev

🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev

#8 · 30 yrs · R

6–2

8 meetings · sets 15–5

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#12 · 28 yrs · R

4

Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe have met 8 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 6–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 15 sets to Tiafoe's 5. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Nice (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMedvedevTiafoe
Wins in straight sets71%57%
Wins a set when losing53%38%
Goes to a deciding set36%41%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite49%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog60%65%
Tiebreak sets won38%58%
Wins after taking set 190%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 174%63%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 4, Tiafoe 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Medvedev

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

8 career meetings, newest first

Jan 7, 2026

Nice

C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying

36
26
Tiafoe

Jan 7, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
62
Medvedev

Sep 21, 2024

Laver Cup - Berlin

H Hard · Round Robin

63
46
510
Tiafoe

Mar 18, 2023

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Semifinals

75
764
Medvedev

Mar 30, 2021

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 4th Round

64
63
Medvedev

Sep 7, 2020

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 4th Round

64
61
60
Medvedev

Jan 21, 2020

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 1st Round

63
46
64
62
Medvedev

Jul 31, 2019

Washington

H Hard · Round of 16

62
75
Medvedev

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMedvedevTiafoe
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%95%
5 or more77%60%
10 or more54%10%
15 or more15%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMedvedevTiafoe
W-L6–615–5
Avg odds1.261.92
ROI %-39.7%+31.0%
Units P/L-4.76u+6.20u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMedvedevTiafoe
Countries22
Events32
Matches46
Distance1,024 mi · 1,648 km712 mi · 1,146 km
RouteCAN → USACAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 40%).

OpponentMedvedevTiafoe
Brandon Nakashima
L
76
67
16
W
75
63
Learner Tien
L
46
06
36
W
64
46
64
Lorenzo Sonego
W
36
76
64
W
63
64
Marin Cilic
W
61
62
64
W
57
62
62
Terence Atmane
W
64
64
L
64
36
46
Daniel Altmaier
L
46
76
46
W
61
63
Felix Auger-Aliassime
W
64
62
W
36
63
76
Flavio Cobolli
L
36
75
46
W
62
76
Jannik Sinner
L
26
75
46
L
26
26
Alexander Zverev
L
62
36
67
L
36
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Medvedev
LLWLLWWL
L

Martin Damm

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

57
36

Aug 26

L

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

763
647
16

Aug 18

W

Marco Trungelliti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

64
75

Aug 16

L

Botic van de Zandschulp

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

36
657

Aug 6

L

Jan-Lennard Struff

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

647
657
57

Jul 3

W

Daniel Merida

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

36
63
75
62

Jul 1

W

Marin Cilic

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

61
62
64

Jun 29

L

Daniel Altmaier

Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals

46
766
46

Jun 19

Tiafoe
LWWWWWWL
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

36
61
06

Aug 23

W

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
63

Aug 23

W

Lorenzo Musetti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

762
75

Aug 22

W

Felix Auger Aliassime

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
64

Aug 20

W

Learner Tien

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
46
64

Aug 19

W

Lorenzo Sonego

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 17

W

Marin Cilic

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
62
62

Aug 5

L

Terence Atmane

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
36
46

Jul 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MedvedevMedvedev ahead↓ Tiafoe

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–66 matches

MetricMedvedevTiafoe
Matches won70%66%
Sets won65%59%
Games won55%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMedvedevTiafoe
Grand Slam20
ATP 50010
ATP 25011
Other01
ATP World Tour Masters 100020

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMedvedevTiafoe
Hard61
Clay01

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Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe FAQ

Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 6–2 over 8 meetings.