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Head-to-Head

Daniil Medvedev vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Daniil Medvedev

🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev

#6 · 30 yrs · R

Title
6–3

9 meetings · sets 15–8

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#10 · 28 yrs · R

Daniil Medvedev and Frances Tiafoe have met 9 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 6–3. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 6–2. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 15 sets to Tiafoe's 8. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorMedvedevTiafoe
Wins in straight sets68%61%
Wins a set when losing47%36%
Goes to a deciding set36%38%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite51%54%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog50%68%
Tiebreak sets won39%50%
Wins after taking set 194%96%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%71%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 4, Tiafoe 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Medvedev

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Frances Tiafoe.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.

Previous meetings

9 career meetings, newest first

Sep 6, 2026

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 4th Round

617
46
67
Tiafoe

Jan 7, 2026

Nice

C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying

36
26
Tiafoe

Jan 7, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
62
Medvedev

Sep 21, 2024

Laver Cup - Berlin

H Hard · Round Robin

63
46
510
Tiafoe

Mar 18, 2023

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Semifinals

75
764
Medvedev

Mar 30, 2021

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 4th Round

64
63
Medvedev

Sep 7, 2020

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 4th Round

64
61
60
Medvedev

Jan 21, 2020

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 1st Round

63
46
64
62
Medvedev

Jul 31, 2019

Washington

H Hard · Round of 16

62
75
Medvedev

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMedvedevTiafoe
1 or more100%100%
3 or more100%89%
5 or more88%56%
10 or more82%17%
15 or more24%0%
20 or more12%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMedvedevTiafoe
W-L11–513–5
Avg odds1.322.04
ROI %-15.1%+23.4%
Units P/L-2.42u+4.21u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMedvedevTiafoe
Countries12
Events32
Matches94
Distance1,361 mi · 2,191 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteCHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Medvedev's 70%).

OpponentMedvedevTiafoe
Alex Michelsen
W
62
64
W
57
36
75
63
76
Arthur Rinderknech
W
64
64
64
L
Rei Sakamoto
W
67
63
61
W
63
76
75
Martin Damm
L
57
36
W
64
46
36
63
64
Brandon Nakashima
L
76
67
16
W
75
63
Felix Auger-Aliassime
W
64
62
W
63
64
Learner Tien
L
46
06
36
W
64
46
64
Lorenzo Sonego
W
36
76
64
W
63
64
Marin Cilic
W
61
62
64
W
57
62
62
Terence Atmane
W
64
64
L
64
36
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Medvedev
WLWWWWWW
W

Jan-Lennard Struff

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

46
64
63

Oct 10

L

Novak Djokovic

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

Oct 5

W

Francisco Cerundolo

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

764
63

Oct 4

W

Jan-Lennard Struff

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

64
63

Oct 3

W

Pablo Carreno Busta

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

64
62

Oct 2

W

Andrey Rublev

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final

75
64

Sep 29

W

Roman Safiullin

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals

75
64

Sep 28

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals

63
627
63

Sep 27

Tiafoe
LWLWLWWW
L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

647
64
667

Oct 11

W

Yannick Hanfmann

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
64

Oct 9

L

Arthur Fils

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

36
57

Oct 2

W

Kei Nishikori

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

64
64

Oct 1

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

64
36
36
57

Sep 11

W

Alex Michelsen

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

57
36
75
63
766

Sep 8

W

Daniil Medvedev

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

761
64
76

Sep 6

W

Valentin Vacherot

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
62
64

Sep 5

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ MedvedevMedvedev ahead↓ Tiafoe

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–68 matches

MetricMedvedevTiafoe
Matches won72%71%
Sets won66%63%
Games won56%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMedvedevTiafoe
Grand Slam21
ATP 50010
ATP 25011
Other01
ATP Masters 100020

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMedvedevTiafoe
Hard62
Clay01

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Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe FAQ

Daniil Medvedev leads the head-to-head 6–3 over 9 meetings.