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Head-to-Head

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

#27 · 27 yrs · R

6w
1–3

4 meetings · sets 3–7

Frances Tiafoe

🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe

#12 · 28 yrs · R

4

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2022; Frances Tiafoe leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2022 on clay. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 2–1. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 3 sets to Tiafoe's 7. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorDavidovich FokinaTiafoe
Wins in straight sets79%57%
Wins a set when losing35%38%
Goes to a deciding set27%41%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite66%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog42%65%
Tiebreak sets won50%58%
Wins after taking set 187%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 183%63%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Tiafoe 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Fokina

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth
vs

Tiafoe

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Mar 22, 2025

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

57
657
Tiafoe

Feb 26, 2025

Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
667
63
Fokina

Aug 13, 2024

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 1st Round

36
667
Tiafoe

Apr 29, 2022

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril

C Clay · Quarterfinals

657
75
57
Tiafoe

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeFokinaTiafoe
1 or more87%100%
3 or more80%95%
5 or more80%60%
10 or more7%10%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricFokinaTiafoe
W-L10–415–5
Avg odds1.631.92
ROI %+2.7%+31.0%
Units P/L+0.38u+6.20u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricFokinaTiafoe
Countries—2
Events—2
Matches—6
Distance—712 mi · 1,146 km
Route—CAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fokina's 50%).

OpponentFokinaTiafoe
Brandon Nakashima
L
67
46
W
75
63
Learner Tien
L
64
16
67
W
64
46
64
Lorenzo Sonego
W
76
64
W
63
64
Felix Auger-Aliassime
L
76
67
36
76
16
W
36
63
76
Marton Fucsovics
W
76
62
63
L
63
16
57
Daniel Altmaier
W
75
63
W
61
63
Tommy Paul
L
36
67
L
57
64
67
Rinky Hijikata
W
63
62
W
64
64
Mattia Bellucci
L
26
76
16
W
63
64
Matteo Arnaldi
W
64
64
L
67
76
63
67
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Fokina
LWLWWWWW
L

Alex Molcan

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals

63
16
26

Jul 16

W

Marco Trungelliti

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

64
75

Jul 15

L

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

764
667
36
762
16

Jul 5

W

Marton Fucsovics

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

763
62
63

Jul 3

W

Fabian Marozsan

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

63
60
63

Jul 1

W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

64
64
762

Jun 29

W

Ethan Quinn

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final

764
63

Jun 27

W

Fabian Marozsan

Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals

57
62
64

Jun 26

Tiafoe
LWWWWWWL
L

Arthur Fils

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

36
61
06

Aug 23

W

Brandon Nakashima

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
63

Aug 23

W

Lorenzo Musetti

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

762
75

Aug 22

W

Felix Auger Aliassime

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
64

Aug 20

W

Learner Tien

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
46
64

Aug 19

W

Lorenzo Sonego

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 17

W

Marin Cilic

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
62
62

Aug 5

L

Terence Atmane

Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round

64
36
46

Jul 28

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ FokinaTiafoe ahead↓ Tiafoe

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–56 matches

MetricFokinaTiafoe
Matches won61%66%
Sets won60%59%
Games won52%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageFokinaTiafoe
ATP 50010
ATP Masters 100001
ATP World Tour Masters 100001
ATP World Tour 25001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceFokinaTiafoe
Hard12
Clay01

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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe FAQ

Frances Tiafoe leads the head-to-head 3–1 over 4 meetings.