Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title5 meetings · sets 5–8
🇺🇸Frances Tiafoe
#10 · 28 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Frances Tiafoe have met 5 times since 2022; Frances Tiafoe leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril in 2022 on clay. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 5 sets to Tiafoe's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 0, Tiafoe 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 11, 2026
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 22, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 26, 2025
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 29, 2022
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +22.7% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.82u | +4.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Fokina's 60%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Brooksby | W 61 63 | W 64 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | W 67 76 64 67 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 64 64 | W 57 36 75 63 76 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 76 62 | W 64 62 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 75 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | W 63 64 |
| Felix Auger Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | W 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 64 46 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 75 63 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–63 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 71% |
| Sets won | 63% | 63% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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