Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#26 · 27 yrs · R
Title7 meetings · sets 4–13
🇷🇺Andrey Rublev
#23 · 28 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Andrey Rublev have met 7 times since 2020; Andrey Rublev leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Rublev leads 4–1. On hard courts Rublev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Rublev's 13. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 14/44 | 36% | 17/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 20/32 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 7/12 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 12/21 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Rublev 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 17, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 15, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 1, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 1, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–1 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +40.2% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.82u | -2.67u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 8 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fokina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rublev's 60%).
| Opponent | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 26 64 46 | L 61 26 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 76 | L 36 26 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 46 64 63 | W 36 76 62 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 62 | W 63 63 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | W 76 61 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | W 62 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | L 26 76 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | L 36 67 64 62 36 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 76 64 | W 62 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Jenson Brooksby
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Matteo Berrettini
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–57 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 61% |
| Sets won | 63% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.