Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇸Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
#27 · 27 yrs · R
7w7 meetings · sets 4–13

🇷🇺Andrey Rublev
#24 · 28 yrs · R
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Andrey Rublev have met 7 times since 2020; Andrey Rublev leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Rublev leads 4–1. On hard courts Rublev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Fokina has taken 4 sets to Rublev's 13. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Davidovich Fokina | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 19/24 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 11/41 | 33% | 14/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 20/23 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Davidovich Fokina 1, Rublev 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Fokina
🎯 Baseliner
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 17, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 30, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 15, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 1, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 1, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Fokina | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 9% | 1/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +2.7% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.38u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Fokina and Rublev posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 63 63 | W 76 61 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 76 67 36 76 16 | L 57 36 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 63 60 63 | W 62 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 62 | L 26 76 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 62 46 62 | L 36 67 64 62 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 63 | W 61 16 63 76 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 76 64 | W 62 63 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 16 67 | W 64 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 75 67 | W 64 67 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 46 61 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Marco Trungelliti
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Marton Fucsovics
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Fabian Marozsan
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Final
Jun 27
Fabian Marozsan
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · Semifinals
Jun 26
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–51 matches
| Metric | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 57% |
| Sets won | 60% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Fokina | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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