Andrey Rublev vs Nuno BorgesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Nuno Borges have met 6 times since 2024; Andrey Rublev leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 3–1. On clay courts Rublev leads 2–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 11 sets to Borges's 3. Their most recent meeting: Nuno Borges won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Nuno Borges | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 33% | 17/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 79% | 19/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 3, Borges 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Borges
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 29, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 6, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 9, 2026
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 19, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2024
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Borges | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Nuno Borges | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 15 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | -15.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.33u | -2.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Borges's 30%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 46 76 26 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | L 46 16 26 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | W 64 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 64 63 | L 64 36 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 67 67 46 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 64 | W 36 62 61 62 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 64 63 | W 63 60 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 62 63 | L 36 76 67 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | L 36 46 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Jiri Lehecka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Francisco Cerundolo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–60 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 48% |
| Sets won | 58% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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