Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 9 times since 2018; Andrey Rublev leads 7–2. Their first meeting came at Umag in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–2. On clay courts Rublev leads 3–0. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Rublev leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 15 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 10. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 66% | 23/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 94% | 31/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Auger-Aliassime 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
May 23, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 21, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
May 5, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Final
Feb 14, 2024
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2022
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Final
Feb 12, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 17, 2020
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 12, 2018
Umag
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -11.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Auger-Aliassime's 60%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 76 61 | W 63 46 61 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 61 16 63 76 | W 46 76 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 61 26 36 | L 36 26 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 57 76 | W 76 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 57 46 | L 46 26 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 63 63 | L 75 46 63 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 46 76 64 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 63 36 63 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 63 76 | L 63 75 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 63 75 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–68 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 68% |
| Sets won | 58% | 64% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 3 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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