Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 9 times since 2018; Andrey Rublev leads 7–2. Their first meeting came at Umag in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–2. On clay courts Rublev leads 3–0. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Rublev leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 15 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 10. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 55% | 24/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 81% | 26/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 2, Auger-Aliassime 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
May 23, 2025
Hamburg Open - Hamburg
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 21, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
May 5, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Final
Feb 14, 2024
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2022
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · Final
Feb 12, 2022
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 17, 2020
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 12, 2018
Umag
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 33% | 4/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -1.12u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 63 36 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 63 75 61 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 67 76 63 67 61 |
| Learner Tien | W 64 64 | W 67 75 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 67 36 | L 64 46 46 46 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 46 | W 75 61 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 36 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 64 75 | L 67 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | L 36 67 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–66 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 73% |
| Sets won | 56% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 2 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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