Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-AliassimePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Felix Auger-Aliassime have met 9 times since 2017; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at Lyon in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Auger-Aliassime leads 3–2. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Auger-Aliassime has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 11 sets to Auger-Aliassime's 10. Their most recent meeting: Felix Auger-Aliassime won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 27% | 14/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 55% | 24/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 63% | 20/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 81% | 26/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 4, Auger-Aliassime 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 1, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 30, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
Nov 13, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 12, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 4, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 6, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 128
Apr 16, 2018
Francavilla
C Clay · Round of 16
Jun 12, 2017
Lyon
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Auger-Aliassime | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Felix Auger-Aliassime | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 33% | 4/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -1.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ruud's 70%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | W 67 76 63 67 61 |
| Aleksandr Shevchenko | W 61 76 | W 63 61 64 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 46 64 46 61 76 |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | L 67 67 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 64 63 | W 75 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | W 76 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | W 64 62 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–66 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 73% |
| Sets won | 64% | 66% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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