Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud have met 7 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Anytech365 Andalucia Open - Marbella in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 5–1. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Alcaraz leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 13 sets to Ruud's 4. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Ruud | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Casper Ruud | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 23% | 10/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 85% | 23/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 4, Ruud 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 29, 2025
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 2, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 11, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Apr 3, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Final
Apr 9, 2021
Anytech365 Andalucia Open - Marbella
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.75 |
| ROI % | - | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Ruud's 70%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | W 64 64 | L 67 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | W 46 67 64 76 75 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 46 46 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 61 16 62 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | W 63 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | W 36 63 64 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 62 64 61 | W 75 63 |
| Sebastian Korda | L 36 75 46 | L 64 26 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 69% |
| Sets won | 80% | 64% |
| Games won | 59% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Ruud |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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