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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper RuudPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

7Title
6–1

7 meetings · sets 13–4

Casper Ruud

🇳🇴Casper Ruud

#24 · 27 yrs · R

Carlos Alcaraz and Casper Ruud have met 7 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Anytech365 Andalucia Open - Marbella in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 5–1. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Alcaraz leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 13 sets to Ruud's 4. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazRuud
Wins in straight sets72%77%
Wins a set when losing40%15%
Goes to a deciding set30%20%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite64%56%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%57%
Tiebreak sets won54%50%
Wins after taking set 195%93%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 182%89%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 4, Ruud 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Ruud

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

7 career meetings, newest first

Mar 11, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 4th Round

61
762
Alcaraz

Sep 29, 2025

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo

H Hard · Semifinals

36
63
64
Alcaraz

Nov 11, 2024

Nitto ATP Finals - Turin

H Hard · Round Robin

16
57
Ruud

Oct 2, 2023

China Open - Beijing

H Hard · Quarterfinals

64
62
Alcaraz

Sep 11, 2022

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · Final

64
26
761
63
Alcaraz

Apr 3, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · Final

75
64
Alcaraz

Apr 9, 2021

Anytech365 Andalucia Open - Marbella

C Clay · Quarterfinals

62
64
Alcaraz

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeAlcarazRuud
1 or more92%100%
3 or more75%83%
5 or more25%50%
10 or more0%33%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazRuud
W-L11–16–3
Avg odds1.151.59
ROI %+4.3%+4.7%
Units P/L+0.51u+0.42u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazRuud
Countries33
Events33
Matches74
Distance7,032 mi · 11,317 km7,032 mi · 11,317 km
RouteGBR → JPN → CHNGBR → JPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Ruud's 70%).

OpponentAlcarazRuud
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
W
63
63
W
61
62
Jiri Lehecka
W
76
64
W
63
64
Jaume Munar
W
57
63
61
W
60
61
Denis Shapovalov
W
W
63
64
Ben Shelton
L
76
16
36
61
67
L
63
46
36
46
Tommy Paul
W
64
63
64
W
46
67
64
76
75
Yibing Wu
W
63
64
61
L
67
67
Jaime Faria
W
46
60
63
62
W
67
64
62
Roman Safiullin
W
64
64
64
W
62
76
57
06
62
Joao Fonseca
W
64
64
L
67
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WWWWWWWL
W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

63
63

Oct 10

W

Jiri Lehecka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final

764
64

Oct 6

W

Jaume Munar

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals

57
63
61

Oct 5

W

Denis Shapovalov

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

Oct 4

W

Matteo Arnaldi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

766
61

Oct 3

W

Alex Michelsen

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

761
46
61

Oct 1

W

Taylor Fritz

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

63
46
1311

Sep 26

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

765
16
36
61
67

Sep 9

Ruud
WWLWWWLL
W

Learner Tien

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

64
763

Oct 12

W

Bu Yunchaokete

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

61
762

Oct 10

L

Luciano Darderi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

637
36

Oct 1

W

Francisco Cerundolo

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

647
64
108

Sep 25

W

Fnu Nidunjianzan

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4

62
60

Sep 19

W

Rigele Te

Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1

61
761

Sep 18

L

Christopher O'Connell

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

Aug 16

L

Joao Fonseca

National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round

667
36

Aug 8

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ AlcarazAlcaraz ahead↓ Ruud

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–53 matches

MetricAlcarazRuud
Matches won86%70%
Sets won78%64%
Games won59%55%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazRuud
Finals20
Grand Slam10
ATP Finals01
ATP 50020
ATP 25010
ATP Masters 100020

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazRuud
Hard51
Clay10

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 6–1 over 7 meetings.