Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have met 17 times since 2019; Carlos Alcaraz leads 10–7. Their first meeting came at Alicante in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 7–3. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 3–2. On grass courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. 8 of their meetings have been finals, split 4–4. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 28 sets to Sinner's 26. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 91% | 42/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 11% | 5/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 100% | 44/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 95% | 42/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Sinner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 782 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
17 career meetings, newest first
Apr 12, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Final
Nov 16, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Final
Sep 7, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Jul 13, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Final
Jun 8, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
May 18, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Final
Oct 2, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Final
Jun 7, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 16, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 3, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 31, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 18, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 7, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 31, 2022
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Final
Jul 3, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Nov 3, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2019
Alicante
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | - |
| ROI % | +4.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Alcaraz's 80%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 63 | L 63 62 57 16 16 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 64 | W 64 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W | W 63 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 46 61 | W 75 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | W 63 64 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | W 67 76 63 64 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | W 64 64 64 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W 64 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W 62 57 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–61 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 95% |
| Sets won | 78% | 89% |
| Games won | 59% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 4 | 4 |
| Grand Slam | 4 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 4 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 3 |
| Clay | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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