Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have met 17 times since 2019; Carlos Alcaraz leads 10–7. Their first meeting came at Alicante in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 7–3. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 3–2. On grass courts Sinner leads 2–0. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. 8 of their meetings have been finals, split 4–4. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 28 sets to Sinner's 26. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Sinner 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 144 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
17 career meetings, newest first
Apr 12, 2026
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Final
Nov 16, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Final
Sep 7, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Jul 13, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Final
Jun 8, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
May 18, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Final
Oct 2, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Final
Jun 7, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 16, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 3, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 31, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 18, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 7, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 31, 2022
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Final
Jul 3, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Nov 3, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2019
Alicante
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.08 |
| ROI % | - | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Alcaraz's 90%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | W 67 76 63 64 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | W 64 64 64 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W 64 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W 62 57 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | W 62 64 |
| Arthur Fils | W 62 61 | W 62 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | W 62 75 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 64 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | W 63 64 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–72 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 94% |
| Sets won | 80% | 87% |
| Games won | 59% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 4 | 4 |
| Grand Slam | 4 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 3 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 3 |
| Clay | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.