Alexander Zverev vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz have met 13 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 7–6. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Zverev leads 5–4. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 3–1. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Alcaraz leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 18 sets to Alcaraz's 20. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 23% | 7/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 3, Alcaraz 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
13 career meetings, newest first
Jan 30, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 16, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 15, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 9, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
Mar 14, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 24, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 13, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 6, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 2, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
May 31, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 8, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Final
Oct 30, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 15, 2021
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | - |
| ROI % | -5.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Zverev's 80%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 64 67 46 | W 76 64 75 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 36 63 63 | W 63 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 67 36 46 | L 67 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 62 | W 67 75 63 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 75 36 76 | W 64 62 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 61 63 76 | W 62 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 76 | W 76 63 62 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 57 60 62 | W 62 61 |
| Joao Fonseca | W 75 67 63 | W 64 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 62 75 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 7
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–81 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 86% |
| Sets won | 67% | 80% |
| Games won | 55% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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