Alexander Zverev vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Zverev and Carlos Alcaraz have met 13 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 7–6. Their first meeting came at Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Zverev leads 5–4. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 3–1. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Alcaraz leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 18 sets to Alcaraz's 20. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 30/44 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 8/17 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 22/61 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 29/52 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 23/33 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 39/46 | 95% | 21/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 30/46 | 82% | 18/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 7 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 3, Alcaraz 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Zverev.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
13 career meetings, newest first
Jan 30, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 16, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 15, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 9, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
Mar 14, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 24, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 13, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 6, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 2, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
May 31, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 8, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Final
Oct 30, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 15, 2021
Abierto Mexicano Telcel - Acapulco
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 61% | 11/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 33% | 6/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–4 | 11–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 1.15 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +4.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.35u | +0.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Zverev's 80%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Yibing Wu | W 64 76 | W 63 64 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 75 36 76 | W 76 64 |
| Jaume Munar | W 76 76 | W 57 63 61 |
| Novak Djokovic | L 64 46 46 | W 26 62 63 75 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 64 64 | W 76 61 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 62 67 911 | W 75 62 61 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 62 | W 63 46 1311 |
| Ben Shelton | W 63 76 57 62 | L 76 16 36 61 67 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 63 76 76 | W 67 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–88 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 78% | 86% |
| Sets won | 72% | 78% |
| Games won | 56% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 3 |
| ATP Finals | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 4 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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