Alexander Zverev vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชAlexander Zverev
#2 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
7 meetings ยท sets 10โ7

๐ฆ๐ทFrancisco Cerundolo
#25 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
4Alexander Zverev and Francisco Cerundolo have met 7 times since 2024; Alexander Zverev leads 4โ3. Their first meeting came at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 3โ1. On hard courts Zverev leads 3โ0. Zverev has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 10 sets to Cerundolo's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at BMW Open - Munich (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 2, Cerundolo 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
๐ค Servebot
Cerundolo
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Zverev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Apr 17, 2026
BMW Open - Munich
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Mar 26, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 25, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Nov 20, 2025
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ARG-GER 1-2
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Apr 29, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 4th Round
Feb 14, 2025
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 30, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Zverev | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Zverev | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 28% | 5/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ4 | 5โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -5.0% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 3,258 mi ยท 5,243 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | MEX โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cerundolo's 60%).
| Opponent | Zverev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Paul | L 64 67 46 | W 67 64 63 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 76 67 36 46 | L 57 16 |
| Arthur Fery | W 76 62 64 | W 76 36 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 64 67 76 76 | L 67 26 |
| Jaume Munar | W 76 76 | L 16 46 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 76 57 64 | W 67 63 64 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 63 76 | W 61 75 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 63 46 62 | W 64 63 |
| Tomas Machac | W 64 62 62 | L 67 36 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 63 64 62 | W 64 57 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 7
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London ยท Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London ยท Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 54โ81 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 61% |
| Sets won | 67% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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