Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi have met 6 times since 2024; Francisco Cerundolo leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 4–2. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 10 sets to Darderi's 5. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 38% | 23/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 84% | 27/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 3, Darderi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 15, 2026
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · Final
Jul 19, 2025
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 20, 2025
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 11, 2025
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 3, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -0.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | -0.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Darderi's 30%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 64 67 64 | L 16 06 |
| Nuno Borges | L 46 46 | W 46 63 75 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 67 26 | L 75 67 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 76 63 | L 46 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 75 | L 36 63 510 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 61 75 | W 75 63 |
| Tommy Paul | W 67 64 63 | W 36 63 62 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 60 64 | L 67 16 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 46 36 | L 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 8
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Alexander Blockx
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Semifinals
Jul 25
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–67 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 58% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 2 |
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