Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano DarderiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi have met 6 times since 2024; Francisco Cerundolo leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 4–2. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 10 sets to Darderi's 5. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 42% | 22/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 81% | 22/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 3, Darderi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Darderi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 15, 2026
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · Final
Jul 19, 2025
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 20, 2025
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 11, 2025
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 3, 2024
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Darderi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Luciano Darderi | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | +2.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | +0.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cerundolo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Darderi's 30%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 75 64 | L 36 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 57 64 63 | L 16 06 |
| Casper Ruud | L 76 46 810 | W 76 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | L 26 26 67 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 36 64 57 57 | L 75 67 67 |
| Nuno Borges | L 46 46 | W 46 63 75 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 67 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 63 76 63 | L 46 36 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 75 | L 36 63 510 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 61 75 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kyrian Jacquet
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Casper Ruud
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Botic van de Zandschulp
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–64 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 56% |
| Sets won | 60% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Darderi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 2 |
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