Casper Ruud vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Francisco Cerundolo have met 9 times since 2022; Francisco Cerundolo leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Ruud leads 3–2. On hard courts Cerundolo leads 3–1. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 9 sets to Cerundolo's 10. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 4, Cerundolo 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
May 2, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 25, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 20, 2024
Laver Cup - Berlin
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 31, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Nov 1, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 17, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 20, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jul 13, 2022
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 1, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km |
| Route | CAN | MEX → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cerundolo's 40%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Munar | W 60 61 | L 16 46 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 46 67 64 76 75 | W 67 64 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 75 | W 60 64 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 61 63 | L 36 46 63 64 36 |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 63 | L 63 46 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 61 | W 62 63 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 63 61 | L 67 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 46 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–54 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 61% |
| Sets won | 64% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 3 | 2 |
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