Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2025; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 4 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 70% | 21/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Manuel Cerundolo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 17, 2026
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 18, 2025
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 6–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 3.04 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | -7.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.42u | -1.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Cerundolo's 40%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 61 76 | L 26 75 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 67 | L 36 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 36 | L 16 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | L 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L | L 57 16 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | W 64 62 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | L 61 67 57 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | W 36 26 75 61 61 |
| Quentin Halys | W 61 76 | W 62 64 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–63 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 59% |
| Sets won | 64% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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