Casper Ruud vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2025; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–0. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 4 sets to Cerundolo's 4. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- U.S. Open - New York
- Level
- Grand Slam
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 1 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 2.56 or longer, Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 16 of 39 matches, 41% against a fair-price expectation of 31%.
Priced around 1.50 or shorter, Casper Ruud has won 128 of 183 matches, 70% against a fair-price expectation of 70%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on September 1 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 39% | 22/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 1, Manuel Cerundolo 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Juan Manuel Cerundolo are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 5, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 17, 2026
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 18, 2025
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.79 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | +57.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | +8.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cerundolo's 50%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 63 62 64 | W 64 62 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | L 61 67 57 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 61 | L 46 46 67 |
| Matteo Berrettini | W 76 62 | L 36 67 67 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | W 36 26 75 61 61 |
| Quentin Halys | W 61 76 | W 62 64 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 61 61 | L 16 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 36 57 | W 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 36 63 64 | L 75 26 16 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 46 61 61 | W 64 67 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–63 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 62% |
| Sets won | 64% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |