Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇨Alvaro Guillen Meza
#332 · 23 yrs · R
4w4 meetings · sets 4–7
🇦🇷Juan Manuel Cerundolo
#55 · 24 yrs · L
Alvaro Guillen Meza and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 4 times since 2024; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 3–1. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Meza has taken 4 sets to Cerundolo's 7. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Cordoba Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guillen Meza | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 43% | 9/21 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 11/30 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 23/51 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 7/28 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 11/22 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 41% | 9/22 | 70% | 21/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guillen Meza 0, Manuel Cerundolo 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Meza
🧱 The Wall
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2025
Cordoba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 25, 2024
Curitiba Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 18, 2024
Amersfoort Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 22, 2024
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Meza | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 94% | 17/18 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 72% | 13/18 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.41 | 2.95 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -2.4% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | -0.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Meza and Cerundolo posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | L 57 06 | W 62 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 46 63 | L 67 64 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 76 64 | W |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 67 62 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fery
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GBR-ECU · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Maximo Zeitune
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Max Schoenhaus
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Andrew Fenty
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Anton Matusevich
Zug Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Carlos Alcaraz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 26
Yi Zhou
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Arthur Gea
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–63 matches
| Metric | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 59% |
| Sets won | 42% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.