Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇨Alvaro Guillen Meza
#281 · 23 yrs · R
74 meetings · sets 4–7
🇦🇷Juan Manuel Cerundolo
#51 · 24 yrs · L
3Alvaro Guillen Meza and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 4 times since 2024; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 3–1. Cerundolo has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Meza has taken 4 sets to Cerundolo's 7. Their most recent meeting: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won at Cordoba Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guillen Meza | Manuel Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 14/30 | 61% | 22/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 27/58 | 39% | 22/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 9/33 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 48% | 14/29 | 67% | 22/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guillen Meza 0, Manuel Cerundolo 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Meza
🧱 The Wall
Cerundolo
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Manuel Cerundolo.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2025
Cordoba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 25, 2024
Curitiba Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 18, 2024
Amersfoort Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 22, 2024
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Meza | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–9 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.79 |
| ROI % | -64.3% | +57.4% |
| Units P/L | -7.07u | +8.04u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | JAM | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Meza has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cerundolo's 33%).
| Opponent | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 46 63 | L 67 64 26 |
| Emilio Camacho | W 62 63 | L 57 16 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 67 62 75 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrew Fenty
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Anton Matusevich
Zug Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Bondioli
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Henri Squire
Trieste Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 6
Franco Roncadelli
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Cezar Cretu
Targu Mures Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Radu Mihai Papoe
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 23
Ignacio Buse
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Arthur Rinderknech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Mark Lajal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Hamad Medjedovic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Marco Trungelliti
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–63 matches
| Metric | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 62% |
| Sets won | 50% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Meza | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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