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Head-to-Head

Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alvaro Guillen Meza

🇪🇨Alvaro Guillen Meza

#281 · 23 yrs · R

7
2–2

4 meetings · sets 5–6

Juan Pablo Varillas

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas

#232 · 30 yrs · R

4w3

Alvaro Guillen Meza and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Meza has taken 5 sets to Varillas's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alvaro Guillen Meza won at Tigre 1 Challenger (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorGuillen MezaPablo Varillas
Wins in straight sets47%72%
Wins a set when losing39%30%
Goes to a deciding set47%29%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite27%35%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog58%91%
Tiebreak sets won58%43%
Wins after taking set 169%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 148%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guillen Meza 0, Pablo Varillas 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Meza

🧱 The Wall

Elite returnerLow unforced errorsExtreme consistencyPhysical endurance
vs

Varillas

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.

Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Feb 17, 2026

Tigre 1 Challenger

C Clay · 1st Round

36
62
64
Meza

Oct 8, 2025

Cali Challenger

C Clay · 2nd Round

36
764
46
Varillas

Oct 18, 2024

Campinas Challenger

C Clay · Quarterfinals

63
46
64
Meza

Nov 3, 2022

Guayaquil Challenger

C Clay · 2nd Round

16
637
Varillas

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeMezaVarillas
1 or more91%100%
3 or more55%70%
5 or more36%50%
10 or more0%10%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricMezaVarillas
W-L2–95–2
Avg odds2.142.21
ROI %-64.3%+49.5%
Units P/L-7.07u+3.47u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricMezaVarillas
Countries11
Events21
Matches22
Distance0 mi · 0 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteJAMSMR

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Meza and Varillas posted a 30% win rate.

OpponentMezaVarillas
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
W
75
63
W
63
76
Franco Roncadelli
L
64
26
46
L
64
26
26
Pedro Boscardin Dias
L
26
46
L
26
67
Lautaro Midon
W
63
76
L
67
46
Facundo Diaz Acosta
L
63
67
26
L
36
67
Alex Barrena
L
16
16
L
62
26
36
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
L
64
16
67
W
63
46
63
Juan Manuel La Serna
L
61
36
16
W
26
75
62
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
L
64
26
36
L
46
26
Andrea Collarini
W
62
46
63
L
61
26
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Meza
LLLLLLLW
L

Andrew Fenty

Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round

57
46

Aug 25

L

Igor Ribeiro Marcondes

Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round

46
26

Aug 18

L

Anton Matusevich

Zug Challenger · 2nd Round

57
46

Jul 22

L

Federico Bondioli

Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round

767
36
677

Jul 14

L

Henri Squire

Trieste Challenger · 1st Round

657
657

Jul 6

L

Franco Roncadelli

Brasov Challenger · 1st Round

64
26
46

Jun 29

L

Cezar Cretu

Targu Mures Challenger · 2nd Round

26
36

Jun 24

W

Radu Mihai Papoe

Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round

764
75

Jun 23

Varillas
LWWWLWWW
L

Mili Poljicak

San Marino Challenger · Semifinals

57
46

Aug 1

W

Timofey Skatov

San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals

64
64

Jul 31

W

Francesco Maestrelli

San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round

765
46
63

Jul 30

W

Jacopo Vasami

San Marino Challenger · 1st Round

62
62

Jul 28

L

Nicolas Mejia

Bogota Challenger · Semifinals

46
75
16

Jul 11

W

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals

63
764

Jul 10

W

Luis Carlos Alvarez

Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round

764
647
61

Jul 8

W

Bruno Fernandez

Bogota Challenger · 1st Round

26
63
64

Jul 7

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Mezalevel↓ Varillas

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–63 matches

MetricMezaVarillas
Matches won52%57%
Sets won50%56%
Games won49%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageMezaVarillas
ATP Challenger Tour22

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceMezaVarillas
Clay22

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Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Juan Pablo Varillas FAQ

The head-to-head is level at 2–2 over 4 meetings.