Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇨Alvaro Guillen Meza
#332 · 23 yrs · R
4w4 meetings · sets 5–6
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
Alvaro Guillen Meza and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Meza has taken 5 sets to Varillas's 6. Their most recent meeting: Alvaro Guillen Meza won at Tigre 1 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guillen Meza | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 43% | 9/21 | 62% | 24/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 23/50 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 7/28 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 41% | 9/22 | 65% | 24/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guillen Meza 0, Pablo Varillas 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Meza
🧱 The Wall
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 685 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 17, 2026
Tigre 1 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 8, 2025
Cali Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 18, 2024
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 3, 2022
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Meza | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Meza | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.41 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | +5.79u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Meza | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Meza has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Varillas's 30%).
| Opponent | Meza | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 64 26 36 | W 57 76 63 |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 57 36 | L 16 67 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 64 26 46 | L 64 26 26 |
| Facundo Mena | W 61 64 | L |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 46 | L 26 67 |
| Lautaro Midon | W 63 76 | L 67 46 |
| Pedro Sakamoto | W 57 75 63 | W |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 63 67 26 | L 36 67 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L 64 16 67 | W 63 46 63 |
| Andrea Collarini | W 62 46 63 | L 61 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fery
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GBR-ECU · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Maximo Zeitune
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Max Schoenhaus
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Andrew Fenty
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Anton Matusevich
Zug Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–66 matches
| Metric | Meza | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 59% |
| Sets won | 43% | 55% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Meza | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Meza | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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