Emilio Nava vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Emilio Nava and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 4 times since 2025; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Buenos Aires Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Nava has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nava has taken 4 sets to Varillas's 5. Their most recent meeting: Emilio Nava won at Villa Maria Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nava | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emilio Nava | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 24/33 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 18/36 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 8/15 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 11/25 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nava 1, Pablo Varillas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nava
🤖 Servebot
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Emilio Nava.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 17, 2025
Villa Maria Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 20, 2025
Asuncion Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 22, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 17, 2025
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nava | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emilio Nava | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 4/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nava | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.45 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -6.9% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.48u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nava | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nava has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Varillas's 50%).
| Opponent | Nava | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 75 36 61 | L 26 67 |
| Alex Barrena | W 63 63 | L 62 26 36 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L 67 16 | W 63 46 63 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | W 62 63 | L 06 57 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 75 63 | L 46 26 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 36 64 63 | L 46 26 |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | L 64 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Murkel Dellien | W 64 76 | W 60 75 |
| Daniel Dutra da Silva | W 62 64 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ignacio Buse
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Taro Daniel
Bratislava Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Henri Squire
Bad Rappenau Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Marko Topo
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Max Houkes
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–63 matches
| Metric | Nava | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nava | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nava | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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