Andrea Collarini vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇷Andrea Collarini
#371 · 34 yrs · L
11w12 meetings · sets 13–19

🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w3Andrea Collarini and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 12 times since 2018; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 7–5. Their first meeting came at Santo Domingo in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 7–5. Collarini has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Collarini has taken 13 sets to Varillas's 19. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Collarini won at Buenos Aires Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Collarini | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Collarini | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 12/20 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 11/19 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 19/39 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 5/15 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 14/20 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 12/20 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 12 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Collarini 0, Pablo Varillas 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Collarini
🪃 Counterpuncher
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Andrea Collarini and Juan Pablo Varillas are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
12 career meetings, newest first
Jan 16, 2026
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 15, 2025
Tallahassee Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 9, 2024
Villa Maria Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 4, 2024
Modena Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 25, 2023
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 11, 2022
Rio De Janeiro Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 17, 2022
Concepcion 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 28, 2021
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 15, 2021
Aix En Provence Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 20, 2021
Rome 1 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2019
Campinas
C Clay · Round of 16
Oct 8, 2018
Santo Domingo
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -46.5% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.93u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Collarini and Varillas posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Barrena | L 67 46 | L 62 26 36 |
| Luis Felipe Miguel | W 67 75 62 | W 75 60 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | W 64 63 | W 63 46 63 |
| Luis Guto Miguel | W 67 75 62 | W 75 60 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 67 26 | L 06 57 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 64 62 | L 26 67 |
| Daniel Dutra da Silva | L 46 36 | W 61 63 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 26 64 36 | L 63 26 46 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 61 16 26 | L 46 26 |
| Franco Agamenone | L 63 46 26 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Coria
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Julian Cundom
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 10
Miguel Tobon
Cordoba Challenger · 2nd Round
May 13
Juan Estevez
Cordoba Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Santiago Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 11
Daniel Dutra da Silva
Tigre 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Feb 24
Gonzalo Bueno
Tigre 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Juan Bautista Torres
Tigre 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Feb 19
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–63 matches
| Metric | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 57% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 5 | 7 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Collarini | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 5 | 7 |
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