Gonzalo Bueno vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gonzalo Bueno and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 5 times since 2024; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Campinas Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 3–2. Bueno has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bueno has taken 5 sets to Varillas's 7. Their most recent meeting: Gonzalo Bueno won at Santiago Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bueno | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gonzalo Bueno | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 24/37 | 62% | 24/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 10/32 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 23/69 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 15/33 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 40% | 10/25 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 69% | 9/13 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 32/39 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 24/39 | 65% | 24/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bueno 1, Pablo Varillas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bueno
⚔️ The Gladiator
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2026
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 11, 2025
Cali Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 4, 2025
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 18, 2025
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 14, 2024
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bueno | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gonzalo Bueno | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +14.5% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.03u | +5.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bueno and Varillas posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Jan Kumstat | L 36 16 | W 64 63 |
| Francesco Forti | L 57 64 67 | W 64 36 76 |
| Bruno Fernandez | W 62 75 | W 26 63 64 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 64 57 64 | W 63 75 |
| Lautaro Midon | W 57 63 61 | L 67 46 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L 64 26 26 | W 63 46 63 |
| Alex Barrena | L 46 36 | L 62 26 36 |
| Franco Roncadelli | W 63 64 | L 64 26 26 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 67 26 | L 26 67 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 63 63 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Max Schoenhaus
Como Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Billy Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Valentin Royer
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Edward Winter
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Benjamin Willwerth
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Liberec Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–69 matches
| Metric | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 59% |
| Sets won | 52% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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