Gonzalo Bueno vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gonzalo Bueno and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 5 times since 2024; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Campinas Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 3–2. Bueno has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bueno has taken 5 sets to Varillas's 7. Their most recent meeting: Gonzalo Bueno won at Santiago Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bueno | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gonzalo Bueno | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 25/39 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 11/33 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 25/72 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 15/35 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 13/26 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 12/16 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 33/41 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 25/41 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bueno 1, Pablo Varillas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bueno
⚔️ The Gladiator
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2026
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 11, 2025
Cali Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 4, 2025
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 18, 2025
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 14, 2024
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bueno | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gonzalo Bueno | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 40% | 6/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–9 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.97 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -28.1% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.49u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,342 mi · 8,597 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CZE → JAM | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bueno has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Varillas's 40%).
| Opponent | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 63 76 | W 76 46 63 |
| Bruno Fernandez | W 62 75 | W 26 63 64 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 64 57 64 | W 63 75 |
| Lautaro Midon | W 57 63 61 | L 67 46 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L 64 26 26 | W 63 46 63 |
| Alex Barrena | L 46 36 | L 62 26 36 |
| Franco Roncadelli | W 63 64 | L 64 26 26 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 67 26 | L 26 67 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 63 63 | L 67 26 |
| Andrea Collarini | W 76 62 | L 61 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Royer
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Edward Winter
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Benjamin Willwerth
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Liberec Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Norbert Gombos
Liberec Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Hynek Barton
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Pablo Martinez Gomez
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jaime Faria
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–72 matches
| Metric | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 57% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bueno | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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