Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Felipe Meligeni Alves
#453 · 28 yrs · R
6 meetings · sets 5–8
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#200 · 30 yrs · R
Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 6 times since 2020; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 4–2. Across all meetings Alves has taken 5 sets to Varillas's 8. Their most recent meeting: Felipe Meligeni Alves won at Antofagasta Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Meligeni Alves | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 62% | 24/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 4/16 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 10/40 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 19/20 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 65% | 24/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Meligeni Alves 2, Pablo Varillas 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
🪃 Counterpuncher
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Pablo Varillas are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 6, 2026
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 27, 2026
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 23, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 7, 2023
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2021
Santiago
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Nov 16, 2020
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.79u | +5.79u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alves has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Varillas's 56%).
| Opponent | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | L 16 46 | L 16 67 |
| Carlos Maria Zarate | W 64 62 | W 63 63 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | W | L 26 46 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 63 36 | W 57 76 63 |
| Luka Pavlovic | W 76 76 | L 36 76 57 |
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 64 64 | W 62 64 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 26 26 | L 67 46 |
| Victor Braga | W 61 60 | W 61 61 |
| Benjamin Torrealba | W 57 61 63 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Nick Hardt
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Juan Pablo Varillas
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Gustavo Heide
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Carlos Maria Zarate
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dalibor Svrcina
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Tomas Farjat
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, PER-PAR 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–66 matches
| Metric | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 59% |
| Sets won | 58% | 55% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 4 |
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