Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Felipe Meligeni Alves
#459 · 28 yrs · R
Title5 meetings · sets 3–8
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w3Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 5 times since 2020; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 4–1. Across all meetings Alves has taken 3 sets to Varillas's 8. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Concepcion Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Meligeni Alves | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 11/16 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 9/27 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 6/14 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 11/13 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Meligeni Alves 1, Pablo Varillas 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
🪃 Counterpuncher
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Felipe Meligeni Alves and Juan Pablo Varillas are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 27, 2026
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 23, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Nov 7, 2023
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2021
Santiago
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Nov 16, 2020
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felipe Meligeni Alves | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +2.8% | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.39u | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | BRA → MEX | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Alves and Varillas posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | W 64 64 | W 62 64 |
| Lautaro Midon | L 26 26 | L 67 46 |
| Victor Braga | W 61 60 | W 61 61 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 63 36 | L 46 26 |
| Benjamin Torrealba | W 57 61 63 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · Final
Aug 8
Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina · Semifinals
Aug 7
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 6
Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo · Final
Jul 26
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M25 Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Jul 25
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–63 matches
| Metric | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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