Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇨Alvaro Guillen Meza
#332 · 23 yrs · R
4w6 meetings · sets 7–7

🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
Alvaro Guillen Meza and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 6 times since 2024; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Lima 1 Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts they are level 3–3. Meza has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Meza leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Meza has taken 7 sets to Almeida's 7. Their most recent meeting: Alvaro Guillen Meza won at Cali Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guillen Meza | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 43% | 9/21 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 23/50 | 35% | 25/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 25% | 7/28 | 50% | 22/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 87% | 40/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 41% | 9/22 | 72% | 33/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guillen Meza 2, Pucinelli De Almeida 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Meza
🧱 The Wall
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 383 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2025
Cali Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 26, 2025
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 11, 2025
Santos Challenger
C Clay · Final
Apr 29, 2025
Porto Alegre Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 25, 2025
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 11, 2024
Lima 1 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Meza | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Meza | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–6 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.41 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | -6.00u | +0.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Meza | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | — | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Meza's 33%).
| Opponent | Meza | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Barrios Vera | L 26 57 | L 16 63 36 |
| Max Schoenhaus | L 26 76 16 | W 61 63 |
| Henri Squire | L 67 67 | W 62 76 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | W 36 62 64 | L 36 67 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 64 26 46 | L 06 67 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | W 36 64 76 | W 67 63 61 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 46 | W 76 62 |
| Nicolas Kicker | W 63 62 | L 46 63 46 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 64 26 36 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fery
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GBR-ECU · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Maximo Zeitune
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Max Schoenhaus
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Andrew Fenty
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Anton Matusevich
Zug Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Buvaysar Gadamauri
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–71 matches
| Metric | Meza | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 65% |
| Sets won | 43% | 62% |
| Games won | 48% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Meza | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Meza | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.