Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Valerio AboianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐จAlvaro Guillen Meza
#281 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
74 meetings ยท sets 8โ0
๐ฆ๐ทValerio Aboian
#428 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
Alvaro Guillen Meza and Valerio Aboian have met 4 times since 2023; Alvaro Guillen Meza leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Lima Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Meza leads 4โ0. Meza has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Meza has taken 8 sets to Aboian's 0. Their most recent meeting: Alvaro Guillen Meza won at Campinas Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guillen Meza | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Valerio Aboian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 14/30 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 31% | 9/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 27/58 | 30% | 21/70 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 9/33 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 48% | 14/29 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guillen Meza 4, Aboian 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Meza
๐งฑ The Wall
Aboian
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ๐งฑ The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valerio Aboian.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 15, 2024
Campinas Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Jun 27, 2024
Ibague Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
May 7, 2024
Santos Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Aug 21, 2023
Lima Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Meza | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Valerio Aboian | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2โ9 | 5โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -64.3% | -11.6% |
| Units P/L | -7.07u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | JAM | BUL โ SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Meza has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Aboian's 38%).
| Opponent | Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Facundo Mena | W 61 64 | W 62 60 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L 61 36 16 | L 64 16 06 |
| Emilio Camacho | W 62 63 | W 64 63 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W 75 63 | L 36 26 |
| Pedro Sakamoto | W 57 75 63 | W 76 76 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 36 76 64 | L 16 46 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 26 46 | L 67 67 |
| Franco Ribero | W 64 36 63 | L 63 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrew Fenty
Kingston 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Anton Matusevich
Zug Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Bondioli
Cordenons Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Henri Squire
Trieste Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 6
Franco Roncadelli
Brasov Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Cezar Cretu
Targu Mures Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Radu Mihai Papoe
Targu Mures Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 23
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Maribor ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Karlo Kajin
M25 Maribor ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Vid Mohar
M25 Maribor ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nik Mikovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Aljaz Jeran
M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท 1st Round
Aug 18
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ70 matches
| Metric | Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 59% |
| Sets won | 50% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Meza | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 4 | 0 |
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