Facundo Mena vs Valerio AboianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Facundo Mena and Valerio Aboian have met 3 times since 2025; Valerio Aboian leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Concepcion Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Aboian leads 3–0. Aboian has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mena has taken 1 sets to Aboian's 6. Their most recent meeting: Valerio Aboian won at Quito Challenger (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Cali Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 21 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.37 or shorter, Facundo Mena has won 54 of 65 (83%). The price implied 74%, so Facundo Mena has beaten it by 9 points.
At 2.80 or longer, Valerio Aboian has won 14 of 39 (36%). The price implied 26%, so Valerio Aboian has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Valerio Aboian meets Facundo Mena in the 1st Round of the Cali Challenger on October 21 on clay. Aboian, ranked 340th, is mired in a three-match losing streak and has managed only two wins in his last five outings. Mena, at 198th, dropped his most recent match but maintains a 7-3 record over his last ten.
The two have met five times before, with Aboian leading the head-to-head 3-2. Both players have shown inconsistency lately; Aboian won 6 of 10 overall while Mena won 4 of his last 5 matches, though Mena's recent dip includes a loss to Hugo Dellien, whom Aboian also fell to in recent weeks. A pair of losses to Juan Manuel La Serna further underscores their recent struggles against mid-tier opposition.
On clay, Aboian has posted a 13-7 record, while Mena has compiled 14-6, indicating comfort with the surface for both. Aboian operates as a well-rounded player across court positions; Mena relies on power off the ground. The match will hinge on whether Mena can impose his heavy ball-striking early or whether Aboian can stabilize and construct points from the baseline, where he is most effective.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mena | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Mena | Valerio Aboian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 34/44 | 63% | 33/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 7/25 | 31% | 11/36 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 17/69 | 34% | 30/88 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 22/40 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 59% | 19/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 8/22 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 88% | 43/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 34/40 | 67% | 33/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mena 0, Aboian 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mena
💥 Big Hitter
Aboian
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Mena.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 15, 2026
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 25, 2025
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mena | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Facundo Mena | Valerio Aboian | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 20/20 | 91% | 20/22 |
| 3 or more | 70% | 14/20 | 64% | 14/22 |
| 5 or more | 45% | 9/20 | 41% | 9/22 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/20 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mena | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–6 | 13–10 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +58.8% | +5.9% |
| Units P/L | +11.76u | +1.36u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mena | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Aboian's 13%).
| Opponent | Mena | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 75 64 | L 67 67 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 76 64 | L 16 46 |
| Oriol Roca Batalla | W 64 64 | L 76 46 36 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L 36 36 | L 64 16 06 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | W 36 61 62 | L 36 36 |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | L 67 46 | W 75 64 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | L 36 57 | L 26 16 |
| Juan Estevez | W 75 46 60 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Kicker
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Luis Felipe Miguel
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Alex Barrena
Buenos Aires Challenger · Final
Sep 27
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Buenos Aires Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Nicolas Kicker
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Guido Ivan Justo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Renzo Olivo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Franco Roncadelli
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Matias Franco Descotte
Buenos Aires Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Julian Cundom
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Pedro Martinez
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Andrea Pellegrino
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–88 matches
| Metric | Mena | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 59% |
| Sets won | 61% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mena | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mena | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |