Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco RoncadelliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πͺπ¨Alvaro Guillen Meza
#281 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
74 meetings Β· sets 5β4

πΊπΎFranco Roncadelli
#267 Β· 26 yrs Β· L
4w4Alvaro Guillen Meza and Franco Roncadelli have met 4 times since 2025; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Davis Cup, Group I, PO, ECU-URU 3-1 in 2025 on hard. On clay courts Meza leads 2β1. Across all meetings Meza has taken 5 sets to Roncadelli's 4. Their most recent meeting: Franco Roncadelli won at Brasov Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guillen Meza | Roncadelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Franco Roncadelli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 14/30 | 65% | 22/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 27/58 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 9/33 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 14/24 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 14/24 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 69% | 20/29 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 48% | 14/29 | 88% | 22/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guillen Meza 2, Roncadelli 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Meza
π§± The Wall
Roncadelli
βοΈ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The βοΈ The Gladiator archetype wins about 53% vs π§± The Wall across 591 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Franco Roncadelli.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Brasov Challenger
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Feb 24, 2026
Tigre 2 Challenger
C Clay Β· 1st Round
May 11, 2025
Santos Challenger
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Feb 1, 2025
Davis Cup, Group I, PO, ECU-URU 3-1
H Hard Β· Rubber 2
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Meza | Roncadelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alvaro Guillen Meza | Franco Roncadelli | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 3 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 5 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β9 | 5β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.14 | 2.99 |
| ROI % | -64.3% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -7.07u | -2.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 2 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | JAM | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Roncadelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Meza's 50%).
| Opponent | Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Henri Squire | L 67 67 | L 36 36 |
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | L 63 67 26 | L 26 57 |
| Juan Manuel La Serna | L 61 36 16 | L 57 62 36 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 76 36 62 | W 61 64 |
| Nicolas Kicker | W 63 62 | W 26 76 75 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W 75 63 | W 60 76 |
| Pedro Sakamoto | W 57 75 63 | W 76 64 |
| Conner Huertas del Pino | L 46 46 | W 76 62 |
| Franco Ribero | W 64 36 63 | W 61 60 |
| Gianluca Cadenasso | L 36 36 | L 67 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrew Fenty
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Kingston 1 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 18
Anton Matusevich
Zug Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 22
Federico Bondioli
Cordenons Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Henri Squire
Trieste Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 6
Franco Roncadelli
Brasov Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Cezar Cretu
Targu Mures Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jun 24
Radu Mihai Papoe
Targu Mures Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jun 23
Norbert Gombos
Liberec Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jakub Nicod
Liberec Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Henri Squire
Tampere Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 23
Oskari Paldanius
Tampere Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Max Alcala Gurri
Cordenons Challenger Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Maxim Mrva
Cordenons Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Jul 16
Lorenzo Giustino
Cordenons Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 14
Michele Ribecai
Trieste Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 58β58 matches
| Metric | Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 59% |
| Sets won | 50% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Meza | Roncadelli |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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