Alex Barrena vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Alex Barrena
#220 · 23 yrs · R
Title34 meetings · sets 2–7
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#270 · 25 yrs · R
Alex Barrena and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 4 times since 2023; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Bogota Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 3–1. Across all meetings Barrena has taken 2 sets to Almeida's 7. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Antofagasta Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Barrena | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex Barrena | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 71% | 32/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 10/33 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 22/65 | 37% | 26/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 18/33 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 35% | 7/20 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 85% | 39/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 70% | 32/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Barrena 0, Pucinelli De Almeida 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Barrena
⚔️ The Gladiator
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Alex Barrena and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,512 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 6, 2026
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 28, 2026
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 8, 2024
Villa Maria
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 27, 2023
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Barrena | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex Barrena | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 20/25 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 2/25 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Barrena | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–10 | 13–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -0.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.67u | -0.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Barrena | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 13 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,338 mi · 11,810 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | AUT → ITA → ARG | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Barrena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Almeida's 60%).
| Opponent | Barrena | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | L 26 36 | W 63 46 63 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | W 64 63 | W 76 62 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 57 61 64 | L 75 46 46 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | W 62 63 | W 67 63 61 |
| Henri Squire | L 46 16 | W 62 76 |
| Johan Nikles | W 36 63 63 | W 63 62 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 67 64 75 | L 46 26 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | W 26 62 63 | L 36 67 |
| Daniel Antonio Nunez | W 60 63 | W 62 60 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 64 62 | L 63 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Facundo Mena
Buenos Aires Challenger · Final
Sep 27
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Buenos Aires Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Valentin Garay
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Biella Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Biella Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Marek Gengel
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–71 matches
| Metric | Barrena | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 63% |
| Sets won | 49% | 61% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Barrena | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Barrena | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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