Hernan Casanova vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Hernan Casanova
#411 · 32 yrs · R
6 meetings · sets 4–9
🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#255 · 25 yrs · R
Hernan Casanova and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 6 times since 2023; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Concepcion Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 5–1. Almeida has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Almeida leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Casanova has taken 4 sets to Almeida's 9. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Quito Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Casanova | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hernan Casanova | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 72% | 33/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 36% | 26/72 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 49% | 22/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 85% | 40/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 70% | 33/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Casanova 0, Pucinelli De Almeida 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Casanova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Hernan Casanova and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,370 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay · Final
May 12, 2026
Cordoba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
May 12, 2026
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion Córdoba
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 28, 2026
M25 Lujan
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 3, 2024
Santa Fe Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 25, 2023
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Casanova | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hernan Casanova | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -46.3% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.70u | +0.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Casanova's 70%).
| Opponent | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Bobiere | W 60 60 | W |
| Wilson Leite | W 63 36 64 | W 60 75 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | W 76 62 | W 67 63 61 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 75 62 | W 61 64 |
| Samuel Heredia | W 62 63 | W 63 46 64 |
| Valerio Aboian | L 26 64 46 | W 63 62 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 75 26 46 | W 76 62 |
| Ryan Dickerson | W 62 61 | W 61 61 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 36 26 | L 06 67 |
| Nicolas Kicker | W 63 75 | L 46 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexandre Bobiere
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Wilson Leite
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Gustavo Heide
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Flynn Thomas
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Carlos Lopez Montagud
M25 Denia · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Alex Barrena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Tomas Barrios Vera
Curitiba Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hugo Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Remy Bertola
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–72 matches
| Metric | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 64% |
| Sets won | 64% | 62% |
| Games won | 55% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 5 |
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