Hernan Casanova vs Matheus Pucinelli De AlmeidaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇦🇷Hernan Casanova
#357 · 32 yrs · R
4w5 meetings · sets 4–9

🇧🇷Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
#254 · 25 yrs · R
4Hernan Casanova and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida have met 5 times since 2023; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Concepcion Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Almeida leads 4–1. Almeida has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Almeida leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Casanova has taken 4 sets to Almeida's 9. Their most recent meeting: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida won at Quito Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Casanova | Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hernan Casanova | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 29/37 | 72% | 31/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 15/53 | 35% | 24/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 45% | 18/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 83% | 10/12 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 84% | 38/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 29/37 | 69% | 31/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Casanova 0, Pucinelli De Almeida 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Casanova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Hernan Casanova and Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,488 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 5, 2026
Quito Challenger
C Clay · Final
May 12, 2026
AAT Challenger IEB+ Edicion Córdoba
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 28, 2026
M25 Lujan
C Clay · 1st Round
Jun 3, 2024
Santa Fe Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 25, 2023
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Casanova | Almeida | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hernan Casanova | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | ||
| 1 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 82% | 23/28 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 36% | 10/28 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 11% | 3/28 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 16–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -2.8% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.47u | +2.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 454 mi · 731 km |
| Route | BUL | GER → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Almeida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Casanova's 60%).
| Opponent | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Agustin Gomez | L 36 57 | L 67 62 57 |
| Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | W 76 62 | W 67 63 61 |
| Eduardo Ribeiro | W 75 62 | W 61 64 |
| Samuel Heredia | W 62 63 | W 63 46 64 |
| Valerio Aboian | L 26 64 46 | W 63 62 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 75 26 46 | W 76 62 |
| Ryan Dickerson | W 62 61 | W 61 61 |
| Franco Roncadelli | L 36 26 | L 06 67 |
| Nicolas Kicker | W 63 75 | L 46 63 46 |
| Mateus Alves | W 67 61 62 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Denia · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Jordi Garcia Mestre
M25 Denia · 1st Round
Jul 22
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Ignacio Monzon
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Quito Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Quito Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Peter Makk
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jan Kumstat
Hamburg Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Dylan Dietrich
Hamburg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Max Schoenhaus
Hamburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Florian Broska
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–68 matches
| Metric | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 63% |
| Sets won | 67% | 61% |
| Games won | 57% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Casanova | Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 4 |
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