Hernan Casanova vs Wilson LeitePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hernan Casanova and Wilson Leite have met 4 times since 2021; Hernan Casanova leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Salinas 2 in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Casanova leads 3–0. Casanova has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Casanova has taken 8 sets to Leite's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hernan Casanova won at Antofagasta Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Casanova | Leite | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hernan Casanova | Wilson Leite | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 24/32 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 6/15 | 33% | 11/33 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 33% | 22/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 15/29 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 29/33 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 24/33 | 69% | 22/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Casanova 2, Leite 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Casanova
⚔️ The Gladiator
Leite
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
Both Hernan Casanova and Wilson Leite are ⚔️ The Gladiator types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 1,512 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2026
Antofagasta Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 30, 2025
M25 Lajeado 1
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 27, 2025
Porto Alegre
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 26, 2021
Salinas 2
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Casanova | Leite | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hernan Casanova | Wilson Leite | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Casanova | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 3.18 |
| ROI % | -18.1% | +5.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.63u | +0.70u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Casanova | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ARG → BRA | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Casanova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Leite's 56%).
| Opponent | Casanova | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Mateus Alves | W 67 61 62 | L 57 26 |
| Juan Sebastian Osorio | W 62 76 | W 76 46 62 |
| Conner Huertas del Pino | W 62 63 | W 63 26 64 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 75 36 26 | L 06 57 |
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 62 46 62 | W 60 63 |
| Guto Miguel | W 63 64 | L 36 16 |
| Luis Felipe Miguel | W 63 64 | L 36 16 |
| Lautaro Agustin Falabella | W 63 06 62 | W 63 76 |
| Santiago De La Fuente | W 36 62 64 | W 46 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Wilson Leite
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Gustavo Heide
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Murkel Dellien
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Flynn Thomas
M25 Muttenz · 1st Round
Aug 11
Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Carlos Lopez Montagud
M25 Denia · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Denia · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Jordi Garcia Mestre
M25 Denia · 1st Round
Jul 22
Hernan Casanova
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Bruno Fernandez
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Justin Roberts
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Mateus Alves
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Jose Pereira
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Gabriel Roveri Sidney
M15 Curitiba · 1st Round
Sep 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–66 matches
| Metric | Casanova | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 50% |
| Sets won | 65% | 50% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Casanova | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Casanova | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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