Mateus Alves vs Wilson LeitePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Mateus Alves and Wilson Leite have met 3 times since 2023; Mateus Alves leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Campinas in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Alves leads 2–1. Alves has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alves has taken 4 sets to Leite's 3. Their most recent meeting: Mateus Alves won at M15 Sao Paulo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alves | Leite | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mateus Alves | Wilson Leite | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 90% | 37/41 | 68% | 23/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/61 | 31% | 20/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 26/36 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 6/10 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 37/42 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 37/42 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alves 1, Leite 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
👑 The Complete Package
Leite
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 648 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mateus Alves.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 1, 2026
M15 Sao Paulo
C Clay · Semifinals
Sep 29, 2024
Buenos Aires (Racket Club)
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 2, 2023
Campinas
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Leite | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mateus Alves | Wilson Leite | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–3 | 6–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.21 | 2.70 |
| ROI % | -4.5% | +52.8% |
| Units P/L | -0.85u | +4.22u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Leite has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alves's 40%).
| Opponent | Alves | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Pereira | L | W 63 62 |
| Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | L 67 57 | W 75 62 |
| Rafael Tosetto | W 61 64 | W 63 46 76 |
| Gabriel Schenekenberg | W 64 60 | W 63 61 |
| Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior | L 64 62 | W 60 60 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | L 67 61 76 | L 36 63 06 |
| Francisco Fontes Damorim | L 75 63 | W 60 63 |
| Nick Hardt | L 67 63 26 | L 36 16 |
| Enzo Camargo Lima | W 63 60 | W 62 62 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 63 63 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Curitiba · 1st Round
Sep 23
Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Leme · Final
Sep 13
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Leme · Semifinals
Sep 12
Eduardo Lage
M15 Leme · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Ryan Augusto Dos Santos
M15 Leme · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Victor Braga
M15 Leme · 1st Round
Sep 10
Jose Pereira
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Gabriel Roveri Sidney
M15 Curitiba · 1st Round
Sep 23
Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Mateus Alves
M15 Sao Paulo · Semifinals
Aug 1
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–64 matches
| Metric | Alves | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 53% |
| Sets won | 68% | 52% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Leite |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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