Mateus Alves vs Santiago Rodriguez TavernaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Mateus Alves
#413 · 25 yrs · R
5w4 meetings · sets 5–6
🇦🇷Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
#430 · 27 yrs · R
7wMateus Alves and Santiago Rodriguez Taverna have met 4 times since 2023; Santiago Rodriguez Taverna leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Curitiba Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Taverna leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alves has taken 5 sets to Taverna's 6. Their most recent meeting: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna won at Buenos Aires Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alves | Rodriguez Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mateus Alves | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 26/30 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 14/50 | 45% | 22/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 16/26 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 7/11 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alves 1, Rodriguez Taverna 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
💥 Big Hitter
Taverna
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2025
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 18, 2024
Cali Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 28, 2023
Temuco Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2023
Curitiba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mateus Alves | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 2.28 |
| ROI % | -34.2% | +15.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.71u | +0.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Alves and Taverna posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Fontes Damorim | W 75 63 | W 61 61 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 63 63 | W 76 36 76 |
| Tomas Martinez | W 62 75 | W 62 76 |
| Rafael Tosetto | W 76 63 | W 61 64 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 64 67 46 | L 63 46 16 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 67 57 | W 76 76 |
| Juan Pablo Varillas | W 62 62 | L 46 67 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 57 26 | L 16 46 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | L 26 57 | L 76 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francisco Fontes Damorim
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Francisco Fontes Damorim
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Kaua Lorenzo Santos Gava
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 23
Fons Van Sambeek
Bunschoten challenger
Jul 12
Nick Hardt
M25 Cuiaba · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M25 Cuiaba · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Nicolas Villalon
M25 Cuiaba · 1st Round
Jun 2
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Thiago Cigarran
Piracicaba Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 25
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Asuncion Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Ignacio Parisca Romera
CIT Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Ignacio Parisca
Asuncion Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Karim Bennani
San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–50 matches
| Metric | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 47% |
| Sets won | 61% | 48% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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