Mateus Alves vs Santiago Rodriguez TavernaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇷Mateus Alves
#385 · 25 yrs · R
Title4 meetings · sets 5–6
🇦🇷Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
#460 · 27 yrs · R
Mateus Alves and Santiago Rodriguez Taverna have met 4 times since 2023; Santiago Rodriguez Taverna leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Curitiba Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Taverna leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alves has taken 5 sets to Taverna's 6. Their most recent meeting: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna won at Buenos Aires Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alves | Rodriguez Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mateus Alves | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 35/40 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 16/62 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 27/41 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 36/41 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 35/41 | 50% | 12/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alves 1, Rodriguez Taverna 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alves
👑 The Complete Package
Taverna
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 411 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2025
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 18, 2024
Cali Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 28, 2023
Temuco Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 24, 2023
Curitiba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alves | Taverna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mateus Alves | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 24/24 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 22/24 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 17/24 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 2/24 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/24 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 19–4 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.18 | 2.36 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +24.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | +2.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,475 mi · 12,030 km |
| Route | BRA | POL → ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Taverna has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Alves's 33%).
| Opponent | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 57 46 | L 36 16 |
| Rafael Tosetto | W 61 64 | W 61 64 |
| Francisco Fontes Damorim | L 75 63 | W 63 76 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 63 63 | W 76 36 76 |
| Tomas Martinez | W 62 75 | W 62 76 |
| Hugo Dellien | L 64 67 46 | L 63 46 16 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | L 67 57 | W 76 76 |
| Gustavo Heide | L 57 26 | L 16 46 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | L 26 57 | L 76 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jose Pereira
Antofagasta Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Bautista De La Pena
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jose Pereira
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Wilson Leite
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Nicolas Ciancaglini
Santa Cruz de la Sierra 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Pedro Boscardin Dias
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Fermin Tenti
Buenos Aires Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Nicolas Bruna
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Robert Strombachs
Szczecin Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Oscar Jose Gutierrez
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Henrique Rocha
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–62 matches
| Metric | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 52% |
| Sets won | 65% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alves | Taverna |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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