Gonzalo Villanueva vs Mateus AlvesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Gonzalo Villanueva and Mateus Alves have met 4 times since 2024; Gonzalo Villanueva leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Cali Challenger in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Villanueva leads 3–1. Villanueva has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Villanueva has taken 6 sets to Alves's 4. Their most recent meeting: Gonzalo Villanueva won at Curitiba Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Villanueva | Alves | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Gonzalo Villanueva | Mateus Alves | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 42/55 | 89% | 40/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 10/31 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 23/86 | 24% | 16/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 27/36 | 69% | 29/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 24/38 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 89% | 41/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 87% | 40/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Villanueva 1, Alves 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Villanueva
⚔️ The Gladiator
Alves
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 684 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mateus Alves.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
Curitiba Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 6, 2025
Santos Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 30, 2024
Buenos Aires (Racket Club)
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 16, 2024
Cali Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Villanueva | Alves | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Gonzalo Villanueva | Mateus Alves | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 18/21 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 91% | 19/21 |
| 5 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Villanueva | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–7 | 19–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | -5.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.25u | -1.31u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Villanueva | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 835 mi · 1,344 km | — |
| Route | ARG → BRA | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Villanueva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alves's 50%).
| Opponent | Villanueva | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | W 62 63 | W 76 64 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | L 46 63 16 | W 62 63 |
| Rafael Tosetto | W 76 64 | W 61 64 |
| Gabriel Schenekenberg | W 63 62 | W 64 60 |
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | W 75 62 | L 67 61 76 |
| Gustavo Torres Albuquerque | W 62 61 | L 75 63 |
| Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida | W 36 75 61 | L 67 57 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 16 63 61 | W 63 63 |
| Nick Hardt | L 36 62 46 | L 67 63 26 |
| Gonzalo Bueno | L 46 75 46 | L 64 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mateus Alves
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Guido Ivan Justo
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Mar Del Plata · Semifinals
Aug 29
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Mar Del Plata · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Vito Antonio Darderi
M15 Mar Del Plata · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Leonel Cesar Castro
M15 Mar Del Plata · 1st Round
Aug 26
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Final
Aug 22
Gonzalo Villanueva
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jose Pereira
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Wilson Leite
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
M15 Curitiba · 1st Round
Sep 23
Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Leme · Final
Sep 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–86 matches
| Metric | Villanueva | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 57% |
| Sets won | 62% | 67% |
| Games won | 56% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Villanueva | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Villanueva | Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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