Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Tommy Paul have met 8 times since 2022; Francisco Cerundolo leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at Viking International - Eastbourne in 2022 on grass. On grass courts Cerundolo leads 3–1. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Cerundolo has won the last 4 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Cerundolo leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 15 sets to Paul's 9. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 9/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · Final
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 9, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Final
Jun 19, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 21, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 1/9 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.85u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | MEX → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cerundolo's 60%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | W 63 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 64 67 64 | W 76 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 60 64 | W 46 64 76 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 67 62 | W 64 63 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 46 63 64 36 | W 75 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 63 46 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 75 | W 67 76 76 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 62 63 | L 63 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–54 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 69% |
| Sets won | 59% | 64% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 3 | 1 |
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