Francisco Cerundolo vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Francisco Cerundolo and Tommy Paul have met 8 times since 2022; Francisco Cerundolo leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at Viking International - Eastbourne in 2022 on grass. On grass courts Cerundolo leads 3–1. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Cerundolo has won the last 4 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Cerundolo leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Cerundolo has taken 15 sets to Paul's 9. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cerundolo | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Francisco Cerundolo | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 22/30 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 6/18 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 14/48 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 27/32 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 22/32 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cerundolo 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Jun 21, 2026
HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · Final
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 1, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 9, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2023
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Final
Jun 19, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 21, 2022
Viking International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cerundolo | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Francisco Cerundolo | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +14.1% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cerundolo's 60%).
| Opponent | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 57 64 63 | W 76 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 60 62 | L 16 26 |
| Casper Ruud | L 76 46 810 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 36 46 63 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 46 26 | W 64 36 67 61 63 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 75 06 26 | W 46 76 64 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 64 63 | W 63 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 60 64 | W 46 64 76 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 67 62 | W 64 63 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 36 46 63 64 36 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Botic van de Zandschulp
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Casper Ruud
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Yanki Erel
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 69% |
| Sets won | 60% | 64% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cerundolo | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 3 | 1 |
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