Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul have met 6 times since 2019; Tommy Paul leads 4–2. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at US Open (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Paul
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,729 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 29, 2025
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Jul 6, 2024
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Mar 1, 2021
Rotterdam
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 3, 2020
Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 2, 2019
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 2, 2019
Playford
H Hard · Round of 32
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 53% | 9/17 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 13–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -22.1% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.09u | +1.59u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Bublik's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 46 | W 64 63 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 76 76 | L 67 63 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | W 76 63 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | W 46 63 75 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | W 26 63 63 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 76 76 64 | W 67 76 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 64 36 57 | W 46 64 63 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | W 67 64 64 | W 64 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 67 46 57 |
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
BOSS OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
BOSS OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Jan-Lennard Struff
BOSS OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jan-Lennard Struff
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Arthur Rinderknech
Gonet Geneva Open · Quarterfinals
May 21
Edas Butvilas
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 16
May 20
Learner Tien
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Zachary Svajda
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 15
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Botic van de Zandschulp
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 12
Casper Ruud
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Lorenzo Sonego
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Rinky Hijikata
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Alex de Minaur
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 22
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Final
May 21
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–62 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 70% |
| Sets won | 64% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
