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Head-to-Head

Alexander Bublik vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Alexander Bublik

🇰🇿Alexander Bublik

#22 · 29 yrs · R

2–6

8 meetings · sets 10–16

Tommy Paul

🇺🇸Tommy Paul

#18 · 29 yrs · R

Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul have met 8 times since 2019; Tommy Paul leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at Playford in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 4–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 10 sets to Paul's 16. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorBublikPaul
Wins in straight sets68%57%
Wins a set when losing26%57%
Goes to a deciding set30%48%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite45%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog44%100%
Tiebreak sets won50%62%
Wins after taking set 188%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 176%61%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Paul 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Bublik

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Paul

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

8 career meetings, newest first

Sep 4, 2026

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 3rd Round

46
63
764
16
36
Paul

Aug 30, 2025

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 3rd Round

765
647
63
657
61
Bublik

Mar 21, 2025

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 2nd Round

75
57
46
Paul

Jul 5, 2024

Wimbledon - London

G Grass · 3rd Round

36
46
26
Paul

Mar 4, 2021

ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam

H Hard · 2nd Round

765
36
16
Paul

Sep 3, 2020

Hamburg

C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying

46
46
Paul

Jun 2, 2019

London / Queen's Club

G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying

64
7764
Bublik

Jan 2, 2019

Playford

H Hard · Round of 32

61
46
57
Paul

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeBublikPaul
1 or more100%100%
3 or more92%92%
5 or more92%75%
10 or more58%17%
15 or more42%0%
20 or more8%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricBublikPaul
W-L7–58–5
Avg odds1.751.81
ROI %-9.9%+1.3%
Units P/L-1.19u+0.17u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricBublikPaul
Countries22
Events32
Matches42
Distance5,722 mi · 9,208 km1,092 mi · 1,758 km
RouteGBR → CHNJPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paul's 50%).

OpponentBublikPaul
Tomas Machac
W
64
76
L
62
36
36
Alejandro Tabilo
W
64
64
L
16
26
Carlos Alcaraz
L
36
06
L
46
36
46
Adrian Mannarino
W
63
61
61
W
62
26
64
Hubert Hurkacz
W
67
76
75
W
64
67
63
Learner Tien
L
16
64
67
L
36
26
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
W
63
64
W
67
76
76
Taylor Fritz
L
67
46
46
W
64
63
Frances Tiafoe
W
46
76
76
46
63
W
75
46
76
Francisco Cerundolo
W
64
62
L
76
46
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Bublik
WWLLLWWL
W

Brandon Nakashima

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

677
63
765

Oct 11

W

Tomas Machac

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
764

Oct 9

L

Jakub Mensik

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

46
657

Oct 1

L

Rafael Jodar

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

26
36

Sep 25

L

Tommy Paul

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

46
63
764
16
36

Sep 4

W

Adrian Mannarino

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
61
61

Sep 3

W

J.J. Wolf

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
62
36
61

Aug 31

L

Quentin Halys

Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final

46
667

Jul 25

Paul
WLLWWWLW
W

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

62
62

Oct 10

L

Alejandro Tabilo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

16
26

Sep 30

L

Carlos Alcaraz

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

46
36
46

Sep 6

W

Alexander Bublik

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

64
36
647
61
63

Sep 4

W

Dino Prizmic

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
63
57
64

Sep 3

W

Chak Pong Marco Lam

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

637
61
63
63

Aug 30

L

Flavio Cobolli

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

62
36
46

Aug 20

W

Alexander Zverev

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
766
64

Aug 19

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ BublikPaul ahead↓ Paul

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–59 matches

MetricBublikPaul
Matches won61%69%
Sets won58%64%
Games won52%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageBublikPaul
Grand Slam12
ATP 50012
ATP Masters 100001
ATP Challenger Tour01

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceBublikPaul
Hard14
Clay01
Grass11

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Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul FAQ

Tommy Paul leads the head-to-head 6–2 over 8 meetings.