Alexander Bublik vs Juncheng ShangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Juncheng Shang have met 4 times since 2024; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 6 sets to Shang's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Shang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Juncheng Shang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 40% | 4/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 2, Shang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Shang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 9, 2026
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 22, 2024
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Shang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Juncheng Shang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | +10.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | +0.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shang's 0%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 67 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Andrey Rublev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Kei Nishikori
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Daniil Medvedev
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 24
Daniil Medvedev
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 44% |
| Sets won | 57% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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