Alexander Bublik vs Juncheng ShangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Juncheng Shang have met 4 times since 2024; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 6 sets to Shang's 5. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Shang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Juncheng Shang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 2, Shang 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Shang
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 9, 2026
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 22, 2024
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 26, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 8, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Shang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Juncheng Shang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.66 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -20.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -1.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 947 mi · 1,524 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shang's 33%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 57 63 75 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 61 61 | L 67 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 63 | L 67 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sebastian Baez
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Marco Trungelliti
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Andrey Rublev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 38% |
| Sets won | 58% | 40% |
| Games won | 52% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.