Alexander Bublik vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Andrey Rublev have met 9 times since 2016; Andrey Rublev leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–2. On grass courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Bublik leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 10 sets to Rublev's 13. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 19/28 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 14/47 | 36% | 17/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 4/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Rublev 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 1, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 9, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Jun 25, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Final
Feb 13, 2020
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 12, 2019
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 8, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 1, 2016
Moscow
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 10 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 15 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 20 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -9.9% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | -2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 8 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Bublik and Rublev posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Machac | W 64 76 | W 64 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 16 | L 61 26 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 46 67 | L 36 67 64 62 36 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | L 36 67 | W 64 57 76 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 63 64 76 | W 76 61 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 76 67 36 | W 63 63 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 76 | L 57 64 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 61 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Tomas Machac
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jakub Mensik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rafael Jodar
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Tommy Paul
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
J.J. Wolf
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 61% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 3 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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