Alexander Bublik vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexander Bublik and Andrey Rublev have met 9 times since 2016; Andrey Rublev leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 4–2. On grass courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Bublik leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Bublik has taken 10 sets to Rublev's 13. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Bublik won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bublik | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Bublik | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 20/29 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/48 | 33% | 14/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 18/42 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bublik 1, Rublev 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bublik
🤖 Servebot
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexander Bublik and Andrey Rublev are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 18, 2025
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 1, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 9, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Jun 25, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Final
Feb 13, 2020
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 12, 2019
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 8, 2019
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 1, 2016
Moscow
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bublik | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexander Bublik | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 20 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 9% | 1/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bublik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 76 | L 57 64 67 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 64 | W 64 46 64 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 61 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 67 76 75 | L 36 26 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 64 67 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 57 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 26 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 26 57 | W 63 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 36 76 62 | L 36 46 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 36 06 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Quentin Halys
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Final
Jul 25
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Semifinals
Jul 24
Alex Molcan
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · Quarterfinals
Jul 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Quentin Halys
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Frances Tiafoe
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–59 matches
| Metric | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 58% |
| Sets won | 57% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bublik | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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