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Head-to-Head

Andrey Rublev vs Carlos AlcarazPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Andrey Rublev

🇷🇺Andrey Rublev

#24 · 28 yrs · R

1–5

6 meetings · sets 4–12

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

20w

Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz have met 6 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Nitto ATP Finals - Turin in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 4–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Alcaraz's 12. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRublevAlcaraz
Wins in straight sets71%80%
Wins a set when losing39%33%
Goes to a deciding set33%23%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite47%69%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog17%0%
Tiebreak sets won44%40%
Wins after taking set 181%95%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 165%91%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Alcaraz 3).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rublev

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Feb 20, 2026

Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha

H Hard · Semifinals

637
46
Alcaraz

Aug 15, 2025

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Quarterfinals

36
64
57
Alcaraz

Jul 6, 2025

Wimbledon - London

G Grass · 4th Round

765
36
46
46
Alcaraz

Nov 13, 2024

Nitto ATP Finals - Turin

H Hard · Round Robin

36
687
Alcaraz

May 1, 2024

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · Quarterfinals

46
63
62
Rublev

Nov 15, 2023

Nitto ATP Finals - Turin

H Hard · Round Robin

57
26
Alcaraz

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRublevAlcaraz
W-L6–5-
Avg odds1.44-
ROI %-22.6%-
Units P/L-2.48u-

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRublevAlcaraz
Countries2—
Events2—
Matches3—
Distance712 mi · 1,146 km—
RouteCAN → USA—

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rublev's 30%).

OpponentRublevAlcaraz
Sebastian Baez
W
61
62
W
61
63
Jannik Sinner
L
26
46
L
67
36
Arthur Fils
L
26
67
W
62
61
Zizou Bergs
L
46
16
W
64
63
Cameron Norrie
L
26
76
26
W
63
64
Arthur Rinderknech
W
62
64
W
67
63
62
Valentin Royer
W
63
64
W
62
75
Francisco Cerundolo
L
36
67
36
W
62
61
Lorenzo Musetti
L
76
57
46
W
64
61
Felix Auger-Aliassime
L
57
36
46
W
62
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rublev
LWLLWWWW
L

Nuno Borges

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

36
46

Aug 18

W

Pablo Carreno Busta

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

765
61

Aug 16

L

Juncheng Shang

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

57
64
657

Aug 4

L

Luca Van Assche

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals

63
36
46

Jul 24

W

Timofey Skatov

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round

61
61

Jul 23

W

Luciano Darderi

Nordea Open - Bastad · Final

64
63

Jul 19

W

Alejandro Tabilo

Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals

64
46
64

Jul 18

W

Sebastian Baez

Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals

61
62

Jul 17

Alcaraz
WLWWWWLW
W

Otto Virtanen

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round

64
62

Apr 14

L

Jannik Sinner

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final

657
36

Apr 12

W

Valentin Vacherot

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals

64
64

Apr 11

W

Alexander Bublik

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals

63
60

Apr 10

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round

61
46
63

Apr 9

W

Sebastian Baez

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round

61
63

Apr 7

L

Sebastian Korda

Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round

36
75
46

Mar 22

W

Joao Fonseca

Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round

64
64

Mar 20

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RublevAlcaraz ahead↓ Alcaraz

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–52 matches

MetricRublevAlcaraz
Matches won58%86%
Sets won56%80%
Games won52%59%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRublevAlcaraz
Grand Slam01
ATP 50001
ATP Masters 100001
ATP World Tour Finals02
ATP World Tour Masters 100010

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRublevAlcaraz
Hard04
Clay10
Grass01

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Andrey Rublev vs Carlos Alcaraz FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 5–1 over 6 meetings.