Andrey Rublev and Carlos Alcaraz have met 6 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 5–1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,547 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 7, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Nov 13, 2024
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 1, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 15, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.33u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Rublev's 30%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 67 36 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | W 36 62 62 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Fils | L 26 67 | W 62 61 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 16 | W 64 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 26 76 26 | W 63 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 67 63 62 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | W 62 75 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 76 57 46 | W 64 61 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 67 | W 67 75 63 |
Last five matches per player
Hubert Hurkacz
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Nuno Borges
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Ignacio Buse
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Quarterfinals
May 14
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 11
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Sebastian Baez
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–59 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 89% |
| Sets won | 58% | 80% |
| Games won | 52% | 60% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
