Alex de Minaur and Carlos Alcaraz have met 6 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6–0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Australian Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 483 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Carlos Alcaraz.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 27, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 9, 2025
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 18, 2025
Barcelona
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 9, 2025
Rotterdam
H Hard · Finals
Jun 25, 2023
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · Finals
Apr 23, 2022
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Alcaraz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Carlos Alcaraz | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 5–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.20 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -13.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -0.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Minaur's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | L 57 36 | W 62 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | W 76 64 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 62 64 60 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 63 36 | W 64 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 67 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 61 61 | W 63 60 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 26 62 | W 63 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 46 | L 36 67 |
| Sebastian Korda | W 46 64 64 | L 36 75 46 |
Last five matches per player
Denis Shapovalov
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Final
Jun 13
Adrian Mannarino
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Martin Damm
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Gabriel Diallo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jakub Mensik
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Valentin Vacherot
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Semifinals
Apr 11
Jannik Sinner
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Final
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 16
Apr 8
Sebastian Baez
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · Round of 32
Apr 7
Daniil Medvedev
BNP Paribas Open · Semifinals
Mar 14
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 89% |
| Sets won | 65% | 80% |
| Games won | 55% | 60% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 4 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Alcaraz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
