Alex de Minaur vs Alexander ZverevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Alexander Zverev have met 11 times since 2018; Alexander Zverev leads 7–4. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Zverev leads 5–4. On clay courts Zverev leads 2–0. Minaur has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zverev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 10 sets to Zverev's 18. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Laver Cup - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Zverev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Alexander Zverev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 68% | 30/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 36% | 22/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 56% | 29/52 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 85% | 39/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 65% | 30/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 10 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Zverev 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Zverev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2026
Laver Cup - London
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 20, 2025
Laver Cup - San Francisco
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 20, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 5, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 12, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 6, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Semifinals
May 12, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 28, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 28, 2019
Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 5, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Zverev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Alexander Zverev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 33% | 6/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 16–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.19 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -6.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -1.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Minaur's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Quentin Halys | W 36 76 75 | W 64 67 63 |
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 64 46 46 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | L 36 46 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | W 61 36 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | W 76 64 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 62 62 | W 63 76 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 57 26 | W 62 75 61 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 60 63 | W 62 62 76 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | W 62 63 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 64 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Quentin Halys
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Cameron Norrie
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Learner Tien
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Alex de Minaur
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Dino Prizmic
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, GER-CRO · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 69–88 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 78% |
| Sets won | 63% | 72% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 3 |
| Other | 3 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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