Alex de Minaur vs Alexander ZverevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Alexander Zverev have met 10 times since 2018; Alexander Zverev leads 7–3. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Zverev leads 5–3. On clay courts Zverev leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Zverev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 8 sets to Zverev's 17. Their most recent meeting: Alex de Minaur won at Laver Cup - San Francisco (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Zverev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Alexander Zverev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 35% | 21/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 52% | 25/48 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 64% | 27/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 1, Zverev 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Zverev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Alexander Zverev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Sep 20, 2025
Laver Cup - San Francisco
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 20, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 16
Jun 5, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 12, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 6, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Semifinals
May 12, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 28, 2021
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 28, 2019
Acapulco
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 5, 2018
Washington
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Zverev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Alexander Zverev | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 67% | 12/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 6% | 1/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.43 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -5.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -0.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zverev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Minaur's 40%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | W 62 63 |
| Tommy Paul | L 62 36 36 | L 64 67 46 |
| Arthur Fery | W 75 76 | W 76 62 64 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 75 67 16 | W 36 63 63 |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | W 64 63 57 62 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | W 76 57 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 57 26 | L 76 67 36 46 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | W 64 64 62 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 57 67 36 | W 61 46 64 67 61 |
| Alexander Blockx | W 75 76 | W 64 67 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 74–81 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 73% |
| Sets won | 62% | 67% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 5 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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