Alex de Minaur vs Jakub MensikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Jakub Mensik have met 6 times since 2024; Alex de Minaur leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at United Cup in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 5–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 11 sets to Mensik's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jakub Mensik won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Jakub Mensik | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 28/38 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 24/51 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 16/23 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 34/38 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 28/38 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 4, Mensik 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mensik
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jakub Mensik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 29, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 6, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 21, 2025
Laver Cup - San Francisco
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 6, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 25, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Jakub Mensik | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 14/18 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 7% | 1/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -16.4% | -13.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.11u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mensik's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 36 76 75 | W 64 75 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 67 63 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 62 62 | L 75 67 67 |
| Toby Samuel | W 64 64 62 | W 57 63 63 36 76 |
| Martin Damm | W 76 75 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 16 46 | L 57 26 63 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 62 46 64 | L 26 64 26 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 62 62 | W 64 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 36 16 | W 62 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Arthur Fery
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Quentin Halys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Mattia Bellucci
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–74 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 67% |
| Sets won | 62% | 61% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 3 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.