Alex de Minaur vs Jakub MensikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alex de Minaur and Jakub Mensik have met 6 times since 2024; Alex de Minaur leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at United Cup in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Minaur leads 5–0. Across all meetings Minaur has taken 11 sets to Mensik's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jakub Mensik won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Minaur | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alex de Minaur | Jakub Mensik | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 19/26 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Minaur 4, Mensik 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Mensik
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jakub Mensik.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
May 29, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 6, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 21, 2025
Laver Cup - San Francisco
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 6, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 25, 2024
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Minaur | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alex de Minaur | Jakub Mensik | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 6% | 1/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.58 | 1.53 |
| ROI % | +8.6% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | -2.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | GBR → CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Minaur and Mensik posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | W 36 64 63 | W 63 36 62 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W | W 64 76 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 16 62 63 | W 63 76 46 26 63 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | W 63 26 64 16 76 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 64 61 61 | W 64 76 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 26 76 119 | L 57 26 63 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 67 46 | L 16 63 710 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 46 57 26 | W 64 75 |
| Jurij Rodionov | W 64 61 | W 63 36 62 63 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 46 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Quentin Halys
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Mariano Navone
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alexander Bublik
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Brandon Nakashima
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Ben Shelton
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Learner Tien
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–69 matches
| Metric | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 67% |
| Sets won | 63% | 62% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Minaur | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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