Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub MensikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈBrandon Nakashima
#19 Β· 25 yrs Β· R
34 meetings Β· sets 4β6

π¨πΏJakub Mensik
#15 Β· 21 yrs Β· R
Brandon Nakashima and Jakub Mensik have met 4 times since 2024; they are level 2β2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2β2. Nakashima has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 4 sets to Mensik's 6. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Laver Cup - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Jakub Mensik | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 23/31 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 16/51 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 18/33 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 28/33 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Mensik 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
π€ Servebot
Mensik
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Jakub Mensik are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 25, 2026
Laver Cup - London
H Hard Β· Round Robin
Jul 30, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jan 5, 2024
Canberra Challenger
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Jan 1, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Jakub Mensik | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 10 or more | 52% | 11/21 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 6% | 1/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β6 | 12β7 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.53 |
| ROI % | +27.8% | -10.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.84u | -2.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi Β· 11,317 km | 5,722 mi Β· 9,208 km |
| Route | GBR β JPN β CHN | GBR β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Mensik has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Nakashima's 50%).
| Opponent | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bublik | L 76 36 67 | W 64 76 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 76 36 46 | W 63 36 62 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | W 57 64 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 62 61 60 | W 63 76 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 67 64 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 75 26 76 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | W 62 64 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | W 64 75 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 46 62 75 | W 63 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 06 62 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Bublik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Matteo Berrettini
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Ugo Humbert
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Jakub Mensik
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 25
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Baez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Francisco Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round
Oct 11
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 9
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alexander Bublik
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Brandon Nakashima
Laver Cup - London Β· Round Robin
Sep 25
Ben Shelton
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA Β· Rubber 4
Sep 19
Learner Tien
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA Β· Rubber 1
Sep 18
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 57β59 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 67% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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