Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub MensikPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Brandon Nakashima and Jakub Mensik have met 3 times since 2024; Jakub Mensik leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Mensik leads 2–1. Across all meetings Nakashima has taken 2 sets to Mensik's 5. Their most recent meeting: Brandon Nakashima won at Citi Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakashima | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Brandon Nakashima | Jakub Mensik | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 59% | 16/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 16/55 | 47% | 20/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 20/37 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 15/30 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakashima 0, Mensik 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Mensik
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Brandon Nakashima and Jakub Mensik are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 30, 2026
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 5, 2024
Canberra Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 1, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakashima | Mensik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Brandon Nakashima | Jakub Mensik | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 21/21 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 91% | 19/21 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 9/21 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 3/21 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 20 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 7% | 1/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +38.6% | -13.1% |
| Units P/L | +8.10u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 13 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Nakashima and Mensik posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 57 36 | L 67 64 67 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 46 63 | L 46 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 75 26 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 36 67 | L 36 16 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 76 64 | W 62 64 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 64 67 67 | W 64 75 |
| Titouan Droguet | W 46 62 75 | W 63 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 76 64 | W 06 62 62 63 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 64 67 67 76 67 | W 76 62 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 62 62 | L 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Final
Aug 14
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Mattia Bellucci
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Terence Atmane
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Jacob Fearnley
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–61 matches
| Metric | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 67% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakashima | Mensik |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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